Recent forecast models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate stable northeast monsoon flow and subtropical high pressure over Taipei through September 20, supporting overnight lows near 24–25°C with light variable winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This consensus underpins the near-even market weighting between those two thresholds, as small differences in boundary-layer humidity, urban heat retention, or model resolution for radiative cooling can shift the minimum by 1°C. Slightly lower odds for 23°C or below reflect the low likelihood of stronger onshore flow or increased cloudiness enhancing cooling, while probabilities for 26°C or higher align with any brief warm advection or reduced wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these narrow ranges.