Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have locked in an 18°C minimum for Tokyo on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling over the Kanto Plain. Successive model runs have kept the projected low within a tight 1°C band, giving traders high confidence in the official Haneda Airport observation that resolves the market. This aligns with mid-May climatology when clear, subsiding air masses typically produce overnight lows near 17–19°C. The only realistic shifts would require an abrupt late-cycle model correction or an unforecasted localized cooling pocket, both of which remain low-probability given current synoptic stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 17 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 17 de mayo?
18°C 99.6%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,768 Vol.
$15,768 Vol.
17 may 2026
14°C o menos
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
18°C 99.6%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,768 Vol.
$15,768 Vol.
17 may 2026
14°C o menos
$1,131 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$823 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,264 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,487 Vol.
100%
19°C
$1,778 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,776 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$688 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have locked in an 18°C minimum for Tokyo on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling over the Kanto Plain. Successive model runs have kept the projected low within a tight 1°C band, giving traders high confidence in the official Haneda Airport observation that resolves the market. This aligns with mid-May climatology when clear, subsiding air masses typically produce overnight lows near 17–19°C. The only realistic shifts would require an abrupt late-cycle model correction or an unforecasted localized cooling pocket, both of which remain low-probability given current synoptic stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$15,768Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have locked in an 18°C minimum for Tokyo on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling over the Kanto Plain. Successive model runs have kept the projected low within a tight 1°C band, giving traders high confidence in the official Haneda Airport observation that resolves the market. This aligns with mid-May climatology when clear, subsiding air masses typically produce overnight lows near 17–19°C. The only realistic shifts would require an abrupt late-cycle model correction or an unforecasted localized cooling pocket, both of which remain low-probability given current synoptic stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,768Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts have locked in an 18°C minimum for Tokyo on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling over the Kanto Plain. Successive model runs have kept the projected low within a tight 1°C band, giving traders high confidence in the official Haneda Airport observation that resolves the market. This aligns with mid-May climatology when clear, subsiding air masses typically produce overnight lows near 17–19°C. The only realistic shifts would require an abrupt late-cycle model correction or an unforecasted localized cooling pocket, both of which remain low-probability given current synoptic stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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