Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting history. McClain faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in the November 3, 2026 general election after both advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition through August primaries. Trader consensus aligns with the seat’s structural advantages, including incumbency, established campaign infrastructure, and limited Democratic recruitment or spending signals. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, late-cycle candidate controversies, or unexpected turnout surges among specific voter blocs, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMI-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MI-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$24,277 Vol.
$24,277 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$24,277 Vol.
$24,277 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$17,710 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$6,567 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting history. McClain faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in the November 3, 2026 general election after both advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition through August primaries. Trader consensus aligns with the seat’s structural advantages, including incumbency, established campaign infrastructure, and limited Democratic recruitment or spending signals. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, late-cycle candidate controversies, or unexpected turnout surges among specific voter blocs, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$24,277Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting history. McClain faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in the November 3, 2026 general election after both advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition through August primaries. Trader consensus aligns with the seat’s structural advantages, including incumbency, established campaign infrastructure, and limited Democratic recruitment or spending signals. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, late-cycle candidate controversies, or unexpected turnout surges among specific voter blocs, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,277Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting history. McClain faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in the November 3, 2026 general election after both advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition through August primaries. Trader consensus aligns with the seat’s structural advantages, including incumbency, established campaign infrastructure, and limited Democratic recruitment or spending signals. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, late-cycle candidate controversies, or unexpected turnout surges among specific voter blocs, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes