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icon for Ganador de la primaria demócrata MN-05

Ganador de la primaria demócrata MN-05

icon for Ganador de la primaria demócrata MN-05

Ganador de la primaria demócrata MN-05

$36,368 Vol.

Polymarket

$36,368 Vol.

icon for Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

$28,917 Vol.

100%

icon for Latonya Reeves

Latonya Reeves

$7,450 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District in the August 11, 2026, primary, defeating challengers including Latonya Reeves, Julie Le, and others with roughly 80.7 percent of the vote. Her commanding position reflects established incumbency advantages, consistent district support in a solidly Democratic area centered on Minneapolis, and limited primary opposition momentum in the preceding months. The decisive margin aligns with historical patterns of strong re-nomination rates for sitting members in safe seats. Limited scenarios that could still alter resolution include official certification delays, recounts in close margins, or disputes over eligibility, though none have emerged given the scale of the reported results. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels captures this verified outcome while accounting for standard post-primary finalization steps.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,368
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District in the August 11, 2026, primary, defeating challengers including Latonya Reeves, Julie Le, and others with roughly 80.7 percent of the vote. Her commanding position reflects established incumbency advantages, consistent district support in a solidly Democratic area centered on Minneapolis, and limited primary opposition momentum in the preceding months. The decisive margin aligns with historical patterns of strong re-nomination rates for sitting members in safe seats. Limited scenarios that could still alter resolution include official certification delays, recounts in close margins, or disputes over eligibility, though none have emerged given the scale of the reported results. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels captures this verified outcome while accounting for standard post-primary finalization steps.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,368
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la primaria demócrata MN-05" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ilhan Omar" con 100%, seguido de "Latonya Reeves" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la primaria demócrata MN-05" ha generado $36.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la primaria demócrata MN-05", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata MN-05" es "Ilhan Omar" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Latonya Reeves" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata MN-05" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.