The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Don Bacon has elevated Democratic prospects in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, a competitive Omaha-area battleground that has trended toward Democrats in recent cycles. Denise Powell’s victory in the May 12 Democratic primary over state Sen. John Cavanaugh positions her as the nominee against unopposed Republican Brinker Harding, with traders assigning an 80.5% implied probability to the Democratic outcome. Key factors include the district’s partisan voting index near even, strong Democratic fundraising and turnout in suburban precincts, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage for Republicans. No major campaign developments have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNE-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NE-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$27,520 Vol.
$27,520 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
81%
Partido Republicano
14%
$27,520 Vol.
$27,520 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$27,289 Vol.
81%
Partido Republicano
$231 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Don Bacon has elevated Democratic prospects in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, a competitive Omaha-area battleground that has trended toward Democrats in recent cycles. Denise Powell’s victory in the May 12 Democratic primary over state Sen. John Cavanaugh positions her as the nominee against unopposed Republican Brinker Harding, with traders assigning an 80.5% implied probability to the Democratic outcome. Key factors include the district’s partisan voting index near even, strong Democratic fundraising and turnout in suburban precincts, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage for Republicans. No major campaign developments have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volumen
$27,520Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Don Bacon has elevated Democratic prospects in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, a competitive Omaha-area battleground that has trended toward Democrats in recent cycles. Denise Powell’s victory in the May 12 Democratic primary over state Sen. John Cavanaugh positions her as the nominee against unopposed Republican Brinker Harding, with traders assigning an 80.5% implied probability to the Democratic outcome. Key factors include the district’s partisan voting index near even, strong Democratic fundraising and turnout in suburban precincts, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage for Republicans. No major campaign developments have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,520Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Don Bacon has elevated Democratic prospects in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, a competitive Omaha-area battleground that has trended toward Democrats in recent cycles. Denise Powell’s victory in the May 12 Democratic primary over state Sen. John Cavanaugh positions her as the nominee against unopposed Republican Brinker Harding, with traders assigning an 80.5% implied probability to the Democratic outcome. Key factors include the district’s partisan voting index near even, strong Democratic fundraising and turnout in suburban precincts, and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage for Republicans. No major campaign developments have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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