Incumbent Republican Mike Flood, who won reelection with 60 percent in 2024, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and holds a consistent polling edge of roughly 7-8 points over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer. The district's underlying Republican tilt, combined with standard incumbency advantages in midterm cycles, anchors trader consensus on the GOP outcome. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as likely or safe Republican reflect limited Democratic gains to date, though the general election remains months away and subject to typical campaign variables including turnout patterns and national dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNE-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NE-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,622 Vol.
$25,622 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Demócrata
16%
$25,622 Vol.
$25,622 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$12,851 Vol.
83%
Partido Demócrata
$12,771 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood, who won reelection with 60 percent in 2024, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and holds a consistent polling edge of roughly 7-8 points over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer. The district's underlying Republican tilt, combined with standard incumbency advantages in midterm cycles, anchors trader consensus on the GOP outcome. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as likely or safe Republican reflect limited Democratic gains to date, though the general election remains months away and subject to typical campaign variables including turnout patterns and national dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$25,622Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood, who won reelection with 60 percent in 2024, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and holds a consistent polling edge of roughly 7-8 points over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer. The district's underlying Republican tilt, combined with standard incumbency advantages in midterm cycles, anchors trader consensus on the GOP outcome. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as likely or safe Republican reflect limited Democratic gains to date, though the general election remains months away and subject to typical campaign variables including turnout patterns and national dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,622Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Flood, who won reelection with 60 percent in 2024, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and holds a consistent polling edge of roughly 7-8 points over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer. The district's underlying Republican tilt, combined with standard incumbency advantages in midterm cycles, anchors trader consensus on the GOP outcome. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as likely or safe Republican reflect limited Democratic gains to date, though the general election remains months away and subject to typical campaign variables including turnout patterns and national dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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