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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 18.2%

Éric Duhaime 1.3%

Polymarket

$26,855 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 18.2%

Éric Duhaime 1.3%

Polymarket

$26,855 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$5,641 Vol.

65%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,821 Vol.

23%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,267 Vol.

13%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,162 Vol.

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,795 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,379 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois leads trader consensus in this market due to his party's consistent polling edge in francophone ridings and recent byelection victories that underscore nationalist voter consolidation ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. Christine Fréchette's April selection as Coalition Avenir Québec leader and swearing-in as premier followed François Legault's January resignation, yet the incumbent party remains at historic lows around 16 percent support amid voter fatigue. Charles Milliard, acclaimed as Quebec Liberal Party leader in February, has lifted his party's fortunes in Montreal and anglophone areas, narrowing the popular-vote gap with the PQ in May surveys while still trailing in projected seat totals. These dynamics explain the current implied probabilities, with smaller-party options reflecting limited paths to a majority.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$26,855
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois leads trader consensus in this market due to his party's consistent polling edge in francophone ridings and recent byelection victories that underscore nationalist voter consolidation ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. Christine Fréchette's April selection as Coalition Avenir Québec leader and swearing-in as premier followed François Legault's January resignation, yet the incumbent party remains at historic lows around 16 percent support amid voter fatigue. Charles Milliard, acclaimed as Quebec Liberal Party leader in February, has lifted his party's fortunes in Montreal and anglophone areas, narrowing the popular-vote gap with the PQ in May surveys while still trailing in projected seat totals. These dynamics explain the current implied probabilities, with smaller-party options reflecting limited paths to a majority.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$26,855
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Premier of Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 65%, seguido de "Charles Milliard" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Premier of Quebec" ha generado $26.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Premier of Quebec", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Premier of Quebec" es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Charles Milliard" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Premier of Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.