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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec

icon for Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec
Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 81%

Christine Fréchette 16.8%

Charles Milliard 3.4%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$327,893 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 81%

Christine Fréchette 16.8%

Charles Milliard 3.4%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$327,893 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$23,546 Vol.

81%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$80,315 Vol.

17%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$20,797 Vol.

3%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$61,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$38,806 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$49,514 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$53,338 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier due to the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in recent polling and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election. The party’s support concentrates in francophone ridings outside major urban centers, aligning with first-past-the-post dynamics that favor plurality outcomes even when popular-vote margins stay tight. Christine Fréchette of the Coalition Avenir Québec trails as the incumbent leader following her earlier selection, with recent surveys showing her party competitive on economic issues but behind in overall seat forecasts. Charles Milliard of the Liberals and other candidates trail further, reflecting limited projected paths to government formation. Market pricing incorporates these polling trends and regional strengths while acknowledging the campaign’s remaining volatility.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$327,893
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier due to the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in recent polling and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election. The party’s support concentrates in francophone ridings outside major urban centers, aligning with first-past-the-post dynamics that favor plurality outcomes even when popular-vote margins stay tight. Christine Fréchette of the Coalition Avenir Québec trails as the incumbent leader following her earlier selection, with recent surveys showing her party competitive on economic issues but behind in overall seat forecasts. Charles Milliard of the Liberals and other candidates trail further, reflecting limited projected paths to government formation. Market pricing incorporates these polling trends and regional strengths while acknowledging the campaign’s remaining volatility.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$327,893
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 81%, seguido de "Christine Fréchette" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 81¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" ha generado $327.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 81%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Christine Fréchette" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.