Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, rated D+10 by forecasters, and his established incumbency since 2018. He secured the Democratic nomination with 63 percent in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million, far outpacing Republican challenger Virginia McIntyre, who advanced unopposed on the GOP and Conservative lines with limited resources. Traders’ consensus pricing reflects these structural factors, including the district’s Rochester-area voting patterns and Morelle’s prior 60.8 percent general election margin. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 Vol.
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, rated D+10 by forecasters, and his established incumbency since 2018. He secured the Democratic nomination with 63 percent in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million, far outpacing Republican challenger Virginia McIntyre, who advanced unopposed on the GOP and Conservative lines with limited resources. Traders’ consensus pricing reflects these structural factors, including the district’s Rochester-area voting patterns and Morelle’s prior 60.8 percent general election margin. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,113Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, rated D+10 by forecasters, and his established incumbency since 2018. He secured the Democratic nomination with 63 percent in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million, far outpacing Republican challenger Virginia McIntyre, who advanced unopposed on the GOP and Conservative lines with limited resources. Traders’ consensus pricing reflects these structural factors, including the district’s Rochester-area voting patterns and Morelle’s prior 60.8 percent general election margin. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,113Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, rated D+10 by forecasters, and his established incumbency since 2018. He secured the Democratic nomination with 63 percent in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million, far outpacing Republican challenger Virginia McIntyre, who advanced unopposed on the GOP and Conservative lines with limited resources. Traders’ consensus pricing reflects these structural factors, including the district’s Rochester-area voting patterns and Morelle’s prior 60.8 percent general election margin. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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