Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle maintains a commanding lead in New York’s 25th congressional district, where the D+10 partisan lean and Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan forecasters reflect structural advantages that have produced consistent Democratic victories. Morelle’s 2024 reelection with over 60 percent of the vote and recent assignment by House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries to oversee New York redistricting efforts have reinforced party infrastructure and visibility ahead of the June 23 primaries. With only modest Republican opposition surfacing in the primary, traders assign low probability to an upset. A national midterm wave against Democrats, an unexpected scandal, or an unusually weak Democratic nominee could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
$24,605 Vol.
$24,605 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$24,605 Vol.
$24,605 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$14,884 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$9,721 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle maintains a commanding lead in New York’s 25th congressional district, where the D+10 partisan lean and Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan forecasters reflect structural advantages that have produced consistent Democratic victories. Morelle’s 2024 reelection with over 60 percent of the vote and recent assignment by House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries to oversee New York redistricting efforts have reinforced party infrastructure and visibility ahead of the June 23 primaries. With only modest Republican opposition surfacing in the primary, traders assign low probability to an upset. A national midterm wave against Democrats, an unexpected scandal, or an unusually weak Democratic nominee could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$24,605Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle maintains a commanding lead in New York’s 25th congressional district, where the D+10 partisan lean and Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan forecasters reflect structural advantages that have produced consistent Democratic victories. Morelle’s 2024 reelection with over 60 percent of the vote and recent assignment by House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries to oversee New York redistricting efforts have reinforced party infrastructure and visibility ahead of the June 23 primaries. With only modest Republican opposition surfacing in the primary, traders assign low probability to an upset. A national midterm wave against Democrats, an unexpected scandal, or an unusually weak Democratic nominee could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,605Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle maintains a commanding lead in New York’s 25th congressional district, where the D+10 partisan lean and Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan forecasters reflect structural advantages that have produced consistent Democratic victories. Morelle’s 2024 reelection with over 60 percent of the vote and recent assignment by House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries to oversee New York redistricting efforts have reinforced party infrastructure and visibility ahead of the June 23 primaries. With only modest Republican opposition surfacing in the primary, traders assign low probability to an upset. A national midterm wave against Democrats, an unexpected scandal, or an unusually weak Democratic nominee could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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