Seattle's June precipitation market reflects a drier-than-normal start to the month, with Sea-Tac totals through mid-June running near or below the 1.45-inch climatological average amid mostly dry conditions and only trace amounts early on. ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño, paired with the Climate Prediction Center's outlook for warmer and drier summer weather statewide, support limited additional rainfall through the remainder of June despite scattered showers in extended forecasts. These factors keep trader consensus centered on the 1.5–2.5 inch range, consistent with historical analogs and model guidance showing modest late-month contributions unlikely to push totals well above or below normal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in Seattle in June?
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 32%
2-2.5" 27%
1.5-2"
26%
>3"
26%
1-1.5"
32%
2-2.5"
37%
2.5-3"
25%
<0.5"
2%
0.5-1"
<1%
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 32%
2-2.5" 27%
1.5-2"
26%
>3"
26%
1-1.5"
32%
2-2.5"
37%
2.5-3"
25%
<0.5"
2%
0.5-1"
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Seattle's June precipitation market reflects a drier-than-normal start to the month, with Sea-Tac totals through mid-June running near or below the 1.45-inch climatological average amid mostly dry conditions and only trace amounts early on. ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño, paired with the Climate Prediction Center's outlook for warmer and drier summer weather statewide, support limited additional rainfall through the remainder of June despite scattered showers in extended forecasts. These factors keep trader consensus centered on the 1.5–2.5 inch range, consistent with historical analogs and model guidance showing modest late-month contributions unlikely to push totals well above or below normal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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