Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the PP commands overwhelming trader consensus for re-election as President of Andalusia's regional government following the May 17 Parliament election, fueled by consistent polling averages projecting his party 42-44% of the vote and 53-56 seats—enough for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos, Celeste-Tel, and GAD3 over the past week reinforce this dominance, attributing it to Moreno's strong debate performances since early May and the PSOE's projected historic low under María Jesús Montero amid national headwinds. While Vox trails at 13-14%, Moreno's path to investiture appears secure barring an improbable late scandal, turnout surge for opponents, or parliamentary defection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?
¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?
Juanma Moreno 98.4%
María Jesús Montero 1.2%
Manuel Gavira <1%
Antonio Maíllo <1%
$23,017 Vol.
$23,017 Vol.
17 may 2026
Juanma Moreno
98%
María Jesús Montero
1%
Manuel Gavira
1%
Antonio Maíllo
<1%
José Ignacio García
<1%
Juanma Moreno 98.4%
María Jesús Montero 1.2%
Manuel Gavira <1%
Antonio Maíllo <1%
$23,017 Vol.
$23,017 Vol.
17 may 2026
Juanma Moreno
$9,001 Vol.
98%
María Jesús Montero
$4,126 Vol.
1%
Manuel Gavira
$3,844 Vol.
1%
Antonio Maíllo
$2,966 Vol.
<1%
José Ignacio García
$3,081 Vol.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.
If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the PP commands overwhelming trader consensus for re-election as President of Andalusia's regional government following the May 17 Parliament election, fueled by consistent polling averages projecting his party 42-44% of the vote and 53-56 seats—enough for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos, Celeste-Tel, and GAD3 over the past week reinforce this dominance, attributing it to Moreno's strong debate performances since early May and the PSOE's projected historic low under María Jesús Montero amid national headwinds. While Vox trails at 13-14%, Moreno's path to investiture appears secure barring an improbable late scandal, turnout surge for opponents, or parliamentary defection.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.
If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.
If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volumen
$23,017Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.
If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the PP commands overwhelming trader consensus for re-election as President of Andalusia's regional government following the May 17 Parliament election, fueled by consistent polling averages projecting his party 42-44% of the vote and 53-56 seats—enough for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos, Celeste-Tel, and GAD3 over the past week reinforce this dominance, attributing it to Moreno's strong debate performances since early May and the PSOE's projected historic low under María Jesús Montero amid national headwinds. While Vox trails at 13-14%, Moreno's path to investiture appears secure barring an improbable late scandal, turnout surge for opponents, or parliamentary defection.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.
If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.
If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$23,017Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the PP commands overwhelming trader consensus for re-election as President of Andalusia's regional government following the May 17 Parliament election, fueled by consistent polling averages projecting his party 42-44% of the vote and 53-56 seats—enough for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos, Celeste-Tel, and GAD3 over the past week reinforce this dominance, attributing it to Moreno's strong debate performances since early May and the PSOE's projected historic low under María Jesús Montero amid national headwinds. While Vox trails at 13-14%, Moreno's path to investiture appears secure barring an improbable late scandal, turnout surge for opponents, or parliamentary defection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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