The Parti Québécois maintains a strong lead in trader expectations for the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by sustained momentum from multiple by-election victories that have chipped away at the governing Coalition Avenir Québec’s seat total. Recent polls show the PQ and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck near 30 percent support each, with the CAQ trailing after Premier François Legault’s January resignation and Christine Fréchette’s April leadership victory. This competitive dynamic between the two main opposition parties, combined with the first-past-the-post system and voter fatigue toward the incumbent, underpins the current market positioning, though the fall campaign and any late shifts in regional voting patterns could still alter outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
Ganador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
59%
PLQ
30%
CAQ
10%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
$52,348 Vol.
59%
PLQ
$56,150 Vol.
30%
CAQ
$59,486 Vol.
10%
PCQ
$164,004 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 Vol.
<1%
QS
$58,291 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a strong lead in trader expectations for the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by sustained momentum from multiple by-election victories that have chipped away at the governing Coalition Avenir Québec’s seat total. Recent polls show the PQ and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck near 30 percent support each, with the CAQ trailing after Premier François Legault’s January resignation and Christine Fréchette’s April leadership victory. This competitive dynamic between the two main opposition parties, combined with the first-past-the-post system and voter fatigue toward the incumbent, underpins the current market positioning, though the fall campaign and any late shifts in regional voting patterns could still alter outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$505,101Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a strong lead in trader expectations for the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by sustained momentum from multiple by-election victories that have chipped away at the governing Coalition Avenir Québec’s seat total. Recent polls show the PQ and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck near 30 percent support each, with the CAQ trailing after Premier François Legault’s January resignation and Christine Fréchette’s April leadership victory. This competitive dynamic between the two main opposition parties, combined with the first-past-the-post system and voter fatigue toward the incumbent, underpins the current market positioning, though the fall campaign and any late shifts in regional voting patterns could still alter outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$505,101Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a strong lead in trader expectations for the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by sustained momentum from multiple by-election victories that have chipped away at the governing Coalition Avenir Québec’s seat total. Recent polls show the PQ and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck near 30 percent support each, with the CAQ trailing after Premier François Legault’s January resignation and Christine Fréchette’s April leadership victory. This competitive dynamic between the two main opposition parties, combined with the first-past-the-post system and voter fatigue toward the incumbent, underpins the current market positioning, though the fall campaign and any late shifts in regional voting patterns could still alter outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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