United Russia holds a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system favoring single-member districts, and consistent dominance in regional voting. Kremlin preparations, including candidate lists featuring pro-government figures and war veterans, media control, and recent disqualifications of smaller parties like Yabloko, have further consolidated its position. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural barriers, though scenarios such as sharp economic deterioration, unexpected opposition coordination, or major shifts in turnout could still alter results before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRusia Unida (ER) 98.3%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Gente Nueva (NL) <1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
$3,108,621 Vol.
$3,108,621 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
98%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
1%
Gente Nueva (NL)
<1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 98.3%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Gente Nueva (NL) <1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
$3,108,621 Vol.
$3,108,621 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$773,998 Vol.
98%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
$196,433 Vol.
1%
Gente Nueva (NL)
$129,561 Vol.
<1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$153,331 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$23,229 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$500,667 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$601,554 Vol.
<1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$729,847 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system favoring single-member districts, and consistent dominance in regional voting. Kremlin preparations, including candidate lists featuring pro-government figures and war veterans, media control, and recent disqualifications of smaller parties like Yabloko, have further consolidated its position. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural barriers, though scenarios such as sharp economic deterioration, unexpected opposition coordination, or major shifts in turnout could still alter results before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volumen
$3,108,621Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system favoring single-member districts, and consistent dominance in regional voting. Kremlin preparations, including candidate lists featuring pro-government figures and war veterans, media control, and recent disqualifications of smaller parties like Yabloko, have further consolidated its position. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural barriers, though scenarios such as sharp economic deterioration, unexpected opposition coordination, or major shifts in turnout could still alter results before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$3,108,621Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system favoring single-member districts, and consistent dominance in regional voting. Kremlin preparations, including candidate lists featuring pro-government figures and war veterans, media control, and recent disqualifications of smaller parties like Yabloko, have further consolidated its position. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural barriers, though scenarios such as sharp economic deterioration, unexpected opposition coordination, or major shifts in turnout could still alter results before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) la mayor cantidad de escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
67%
Sí
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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