Trader consensus favors incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum at 58.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, reflecting his incumbency advantage and strong conservative base in the industrial city, bolstered by policy pushes like AI capital transformation amid mixed recent polls. Challenger Democratic Party Rep. Kim Sang-wook, a former PPP member who switched parties, stands at 42%, gaining from today's opposition unification as Rebuilding Korea Party's Hwang Myung-pil withdrew to consolidate progressive votes behind him, following multi-candidate surveys last week showing Sang-wook at 33-40% versus Doo-kyum's 29%. Candidate registration began May 14, intensifying the tight two-way race, with minor candidates Kim Jong-hoon and Park Maeng-woo trailing far behind.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUlsan Mayoral Election Winner
Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner
Kim Doo-kyum 53%
Kim Sang-wook 43%
Kim Jong-hoon 1.7%
Park Maeng-woo <1%
$30,314 Vol.
$30,314 Vol.

Kim Doo-kyum
53%

Kim Sang-wook
43%

Kim Jong-hoon
2%

Park Maeng-woo
<1%
Kim Doo-kyum 53%
Kim Sang-wook 43%
Kim Jong-hoon 1.7%
Park Maeng-woo <1%
$30,314 Vol.
$30,314 Vol.

Kim Doo-kyum
53%

Kim Sang-wook
43%

Kim Jong-hoon
2%

Park Maeng-woo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado abierto: Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum at 58.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, reflecting his incumbency advantage and strong conservative base in the industrial city, bolstered by policy pushes like AI capital transformation amid mixed recent polls. Challenger Democratic Party Rep. Kim Sang-wook, a former PPP member who switched parties, stands at 42%, gaining from today's opposition unification as Rebuilding Korea Party's Hwang Myung-pil withdrew to consolidate progressive votes behind him, following multi-candidate surveys last week showing Sang-wook at 33-40% versus Doo-kyum's 29%. Candidate registration began May 14, intensifying the tight two-way race, with minor candidates Kim Jong-hoon and Park Maeng-woo trailing far behind.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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