Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$433k - $435k 54%
$435,000 - $437,000 24%
$437 mil - $439 mil 14%
$431k - $433k 7%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<$429k
5%
$429k - $431k
4%
$431k - $433k
7%
$433k - $435k
54%
$435,000 - $437,000
41%
$437 mil - $439 mil
9%
>$439k
3%
$433k - $435k 54%
$435,000 - $437,000 24%
$437 mil - $439 mil 14%
$431k - $433k 7%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<$429k
$2,317 Vol.
5%
$429k - $431k
$3,100 Vol.
4%
$431k - $433k
$2,328 Vol.
7%
$433k - $435k
$1,726 Vol.
54%
$435,000 - $437,000
$902 Vol.
41%
$437 mil - $439 mil
$248 Vol.
9%
>$439k
$1,298 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volumen
$11,919Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volumen
$11,919Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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