United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, electronic voting systems, and a track record of strong performance in single-mandate districts. Preparations underway include electronic primaries that prioritize party loyalty and the nomination of hundreds of war veterans, alongside the first-time participation of voters from recently incorporated regions. While some VCIOM surveys show New People holding second place in national polling around 13 percent and drawing support from younger demographics, FOM data and structural constraints keep its prospects limited relative to United Russia. These factors align with the current implied probabilities favoring the established party over competitors such as the LDPR or KPRF.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
Rusia Unida (ER) 60%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.6%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,257,511 Vol.
$8,257,511 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
60%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
31%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
6%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
3%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 60%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.6%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,257,511 Vol.
$8,257,511 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$2,160,007 Vol.
60%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
$1,067,164 Vol.
31%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
$2,276,751 Vol.
6%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$658,279 Vol.
3%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$574,590 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$943,449 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$583,242 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, electronic voting systems, and a track record of strong performance in single-mandate districts. Preparations underway include electronic primaries that prioritize party loyalty and the nomination of hundreds of war veterans, alongside the first-time participation of voters from recently incorporated regions. While some VCIOM surveys show New People holding second place in national polling around 13 percent and drawing support from younger demographics, FOM data and structural constraints keep its prospects limited relative to United Russia. These factors align with the current implied probabilities favoring the established party over competitors such as the LDPR or KPRF.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$8,257,511Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, electronic voting systems, and a track record of strong performance in single-mandate districts. Preparations underway include electronic primaries that prioritize party loyalty and the nomination of hundreds of war veterans, alongside the first-time participation of voters from recently incorporated regions. While some VCIOM surveys show New People holding second place in national polling around 13 percent and drawing support from younger demographics, FOM data and structural constraints keep its prospects limited relative to United Russia. These factors align with the current implied probabilities favoring the established party over competitors such as the LDPR or KPRF.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$8,257,511Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, electronic voting systems, and a track record of strong performance in single-mandate districts. Preparations underway include electronic primaries that prioritize party loyalty and the nomination of hundreds of war veterans, alongside the first-time participation of voters from recently incorporated regions. While some VCIOM surveys show New People holding second place in national polling around 13 percent and drawing support from younger demographics, FOM data and structural constraints keep its prospects limited relative to United Russia. These factors align with the current implied probabilities favoring the established party over competitors such as the LDPR or KPRF.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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