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icon for ¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?
Política·Primarias

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

icon for ¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?
Política·Primarias

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

$660,979 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$660,979 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$41,846 Vol.

74%

Xavier Becerra

$14,026 Vol.

68%

Tom Steyer

$26,279 Vol.

47%

Matt Mahan

$23,131 Vol.

6%

Elaine Culotti

$299 Vol.

3%

Jimmy Parker

$1,453 Vol.

3%

Chad Bianco

$34,377 Vol.

3%

Ryan Tillman

$1,950 Vol.

3%

David Thelen

$1,250 Vol.

2%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$12,721 Vol.

2%

Katie Porter

$11,472 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$53,760 Vol.

2%

Nicki Minaj

$3,958 Vol.

2%

Ché Ahn

$18,442 Vol.

2%

Ian Calderón

$114,143 Vol.

2%

Ethan Agarwal

$3,298 Vol.

1%

Raji Rab

$7,425 Vol.

1%

Zoltan Istvan

$12,280 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$42,159 Vol.

1%

Kyle Langford

$11,755 Vol.

1%

Leonard Jackson

$3,821 Vol.

1%

Butch Ware

$8,550 Vol.

1%

Betty Yee

$5,090 Vol.

1%

Derek Grasty

$23,467 Vol.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$73,919 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$37,863 Vol.

1%

Daniel Mercuri

$10,772 Vol.

1%

Javen Allen

$1,161 Vol.

7%

Carolina Buhler

$8,811 Vol.

1%

Tony Thurmond

$12,064 Vol.

1%

David Serpa

$4,924 Vol.

1%

Nicholas Thompson

$7,072 Vol.

1%

Ramsey Robinson

$4,581 Vol.

1%

Leo Zacky

$6,433 Vol.

1%

Dylan Colbert

$14,920 Vol.

1%

Sharifah Hardie

$1,506 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The fragmented field of Democratic candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader assessments of advancement, as polls show no single Democrat consistently leading a vote split across multiple contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter. Republican frontrunners Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco have benefited from this division, with Hilton gaining after former President Trump's April endorsement consolidated some GOP support. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid controversy shifted additional backing toward Becerra in recent surveys. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing, taxes, and public safety, while the June primary timeline leaves limited room for further consolidation before voters determine the two finalists for November.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$660,979
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The fragmented field of Democratic candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader assessments of advancement, as polls show no single Democrat consistently leading a vote split across multiple contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter. Republican frontrunners Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco have benefited from this division, with Hilton gaining after former President Trump's April endorsement consolidated some GOP support. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid controversy shifted additional backing toward Becerra in recent surveys. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing, taxes, and public safety, while the June primary timeline leaves limited room for further consolidation before voters determine the two finalists for November.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$660,979
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Steve Hilton" con 74%, seguido de "Xavier Becerra" con 68%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" ha generado $661K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" es "Steve Hilton" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Xavier Becerra" con 68%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.