**Ukrainian forces maintain positions on the northern and northeastern outskirts of Kamianske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast amid ongoing frontline fighting, while Russian units have conducted repeated assaults and strikes aimed at consolidating control over the settlement.** The village sits roughly 25-27 km from Zaporizhzhia city and has seen Russian attempts to advance through the area since mid-2025, including artillery and air strikes that damaged Ukrainian positions and infrastructure. Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces have reported active efforts to regain lost ground and repel infantry probes, with the settlement divided by a river and described as partially contested or in a gray zone on open-source maps. Recent Russian strikes in September 2026 targeted industrial and rail targets in the broader Dnipropetrovsk region, including Kamianske, but these appear focused on logistics rather than direct territorial shifts at the specified village. Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere in Zaporizhzhia have produced measurable gains since January 2026, though Russian advances have slowed. The Polymarket resolves based on ISW mapping by September 30, 2026; trader pricing reflects the limited verified Ukrainian territorial recovery in this specific sector and the short remaining window for any decisive movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Ucrania volverá a entrar en Kamianske antes de...?
¿Ucrania volverá a entrar en Kamianske antes de...?
$86,856 Vol.
30 sep 2026
30 de septiembre
4%
$86,856 Vol.
30 de septiembre
$19,678 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.**Ukrainian forces maintain positions on the northern and northeastern outskirts of Kamianske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast amid ongoing frontline fighting, while Russian units have conducted repeated assaults and strikes aimed at consolidating control over the settlement.** The village sits roughly 25-27 km from Zaporizhzhia city and has seen Russian attempts to advance through the area since mid-2025, including artillery and air strikes that damaged Ukrainian positions and infrastructure. Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces have reported active efforts to regain lost ground and repel infantry probes, with the settlement divided by a river and described as partially contested or in a gray zone on open-source maps.
Recent Russian strikes in September 2026 targeted industrial and rail targets in the broader Dnipropetrovsk region, including Kamianske, but these appear focused on logistics rather than direct territorial shifts at the specified village. Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere in Zaporizhzhia have produced measurable gains since January 2026, though Russian advances have slowed. The Polymarket resolves based on ISW mapping by September 30, 2026; trader pricing reflects the limited verified Ukrainian territorial recovery in this specific sector and the short remaining window for any decisive movement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 24, 2026, 9:43 PM ET
Volumen
$86,856Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.**Ukrainian forces maintain positions on the northern and northeastern outskirts of Kamianske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast amid ongoing frontline fighting, while Russian units have conducted repeated assaults and strikes aimed at consolidating control over the settlement.** The village sits roughly 25-27 km from Zaporizhzhia city and has seen Russian attempts to advance through the area since mid-2025, including artillery and air strikes that damaged Ukrainian positions and infrastructure. Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces have reported active efforts to regain lost ground and repel infantry probes, with the settlement divided by a river and described as partially contested or in a gray zone on open-source maps.
Recent Russian strikes in September 2026 targeted industrial and rail targets in the broader Dnipropetrovsk region, including Kamianske, but these appear focused on logistics rather than direct territorial shifts at the specified village. Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere in Zaporizhzhia have produced measurable gains since January 2026, though Russian advances have slowed. The Polymarket resolves based on ISW mapping by September 30, 2026; trader pricing reflects the limited verified Ukrainian territorial recovery in this specific sector and the short remaining window for any decisive movement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$86,856Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ukrainian forces maintain positions on the northern and northeastern outskirts of Kamianske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast amid ongoing frontline fighting, while Russian units have conducted repeated assaults and strikes aimed at consolidating control over the settlement.** The village sits roughly 25-27 km from Zaporizhzhia city and has seen Russian attempts to advance through the area since mid-2025, including artillery and air strikes that damaged Ukrainian positions and infrastructure. Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces have reported active efforts to regain lost ground and repel infantry probes, with the settlement divided by a river and described as partially contested or in a gray zone on open-source maps. Recent Russian strikes in September 2026 targeted industrial and rail targets in the broader Dnipropetrovsk region, including Kamianske, but these appear focused on logistics rather than direct territorial shifts at the specified village. Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere in Zaporizhzhia have produced measurable gains since January 2026, though Russian advances have slowed. The Polymarket resolves based on ISW mapping by September 30, 2026; trader pricing reflects the limited verified Ukrainian territorial recovery in this specific sector and the short remaining window for any decisive movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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