**The cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s Bachelorette season 22 in March 2026 dominates trader sentiment, pushing the “Other (Season Cancelled)” outcome to an overwhelming implied probability.** ABC pulled the already-filmed season days before its March 22 premiere after TMZ released a 2023 video of an alleged domestic incident involving Paul and her ex, prompting Disney Entertainment Television to halt broadcast and prioritize family support. No winner has been officially crowned on air, and later attempts to slot the season into the summer schedule were abandoned, leaving the project unaired as of mid-August 2026. Doug Mason, identified by insiders as the reported final rose recipient and engagement recipient, holds the next-highest share, though his odds remain muted because the season’s non-airing prevents standard resolution. The remaining listed contestants reflect filmed outcomes that now carry minimal market weight absent any reversal or delayed premiere. With no confirmed air date or renewed production updates in recent months, traders continue to price the cancellation as the decisive, near-certain outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBachelorette Season 22 Winner
Other (Season Cancelled) 88%
Doug Mason 9.7%
Matt Carroll 1.1%
Michael Baba 1.0%
$2,456,273 Vol.
$2,456,273 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
80%
Doug Mason
10%
Matt Carroll
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Other (Season Cancelled) 88%
Doug Mason 9.7%
Matt Carroll 1.1%
Michael Baba 1.0%
$2,456,273 Vol.
$2,456,273 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
80%
Doug Mason
10%
Matt Carroll
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s Bachelorette season 22 in March 2026 dominates trader sentiment, pushing the “Other (Season Cancelled)” outcome to an overwhelming implied probability.** ABC pulled the already-filmed season days before its March 22 premiere after TMZ released a 2023 video of an alleged domestic incident involving Paul and her ex, prompting Disney Entertainment Television to halt broadcast and prioritize family support. No winner has been officially crowned on air, and later attempts to slot the season into the summer schedule were abandoned, leaving the project unaired as of mid-August 2026. Doug Mason, identified by insiders as the reported final rose recipient and engagement recipient, holds the next-highest share, though his odds remain muted because the season’s non-airing prevents standard resolution. The remaining listed contestants reflect filmed outcomes that now carry minimal market weight absent any reversal or delayed premiere. With no confirmed air date or renewed production updates in recent months, traders continue to price the cancellation as the decisive, near-certain outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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