Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCore CPI (ex food and energy) MoM - Maggio 2026
Core CPI (ex food and energy) MoM - Maggio 2026
0.2% 96%
≤-0.3% <1%
-0.2% <1%
-0.1% <1%
$12,308 Vol.
$12,308 Vol.
10 giu 2026
≤-0.3%
No
-0.2%
No
-0.1%
No
0.0%
No
0.1%
No
0.2%
Yes
0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
≥0.6%
No
0.2% 96%
≤-0.3% <1%
-0.2% <1%
-0.1% <1%
$12,308 Vol.
$12,308 Vol.
10 giu 2026
≤-0.3%
$1,042 Vol.
No
-0.2%
$887 Vol.
No
-0.1%
$768 Vol.
No
0.0%
$639 Vol.
No
0.1%
$904 Vol.
No
0.2%
$2,740 Vol.
Yes
0.3%
$684 Vol.
No
0.4%
$1,107 Vol.
No
0.5%
$1,845 Vol.
No
≥0.6%
$1,693 Vol.
No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Volume
$12,308Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$12,308Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti