Deep Fission’s revised IPO terms, announced June 10 after an initial May filing targeting up to a $1.66 billion valuation, now point to a fully diluted market cap near $1.1 billion at the $16–$18 per share range for 2.5 million shares. This adjustment, amid a pre-revenue small modular reactor developer still advancing its first underground pilot under the DOE Reactor Pilot Program, has driven trader consensus toward the sub-$1.25 billion and $1.25–$1.5 billion brackets as the most likely closing outcomes. Skepticism around commercialization timelines, execution risk for the novel borehole deployment approach, and broader market caution on early-stage nuclear plays for AI power demand reinforce the lower implied probabilities for higher valuation bands. The Nasdaq listing under FISN remains the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<$1.25B 61.9%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.25B–$1.5B 14.0%
No IPO before August 2026 11.6%
$20,143 Vol.
$20,143 Vol.
29 mai 2026
<$1.25B
62%
$1.25B–$1.5B
32%
$1.5B–$1.75B
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
5%
$2.0B–$2.5B
1%
$2.5B–$3.0B
11%
$3.0B+
3%
No IPO before August 2026
12%
<$1.25B 61.9%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.25B–$1.5B 14.0%
No IPO before August 2026 11.6%
$20,143 Vol.
$20,143 Vol.
29 mai 2026
<$1.25B
$1,399 Vol.
62%
$1.25B–$1.5B
$897 Vol.
32%
$1.5B–$1.75B
$9,690 Vol.
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
$4,402 Vol.
5%
$2.0B–$2.5B
$845 Vol.
1%
$2.5B–$3.0B
$649 Vol.
11%
$3.0B+
$764 Vol.
3%
No IPO before August 2026
$1,497 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Deep Fission’s revised IPO terms, announced June 10 after an initial May filing targeting up to a $1.66 billion valuation, now point to a fully diluted market cap near $1.1 billion at the $16–$18 per share range for 2.5 million shares. This adjustment, amid a pre-revenue small modular reactor developer still advancing its first underground pilot under the DOE Reactor Pilot Program, has driven trader consensus toward the sub-$1.25 billion and $1.25–$1.5 billion brackets as the most likely closing outcomes. Skepticism around commercialization timelines, execution risk for the novel borehole deployment approach, and broader market caution on early-stage nuclear plays for AI power demand reinforce the lower implied probabilities for higher valuation bands. The Nasdaq listing under FISN remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$20,143Date de fin
29 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Deep Fission’s revised IPO terms, announced June 10 after an initial May filing targeting up to a $1.66 billion valuation, now point to a fully diluted market cap near $1.1 billion at the $16–$18 per share range for 2.5 million shares. This adjustment, amid a pre-revenue small modular reactor developer still advancing its first underground pilot under the DOE Reactor Pilot Program, has driven trader consensus toward the sub-$1.25 billion and $1.25–$1.5 billion brackets as the most likely closing outcomes. Skepticism around commercialization timelines, execution risk for the novel borehole deployment approach, and broader market caution on early-stage nuclear plays for AI power demand reinforce the lower implied probabilities for higher valuation bands. The Nasdaq listing under FISN remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$20,143Date de fin
29 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Deep Fission’s revised IPO terms, announced June 10 after an initial May filing targeting up to a $1.66 billion valuation, now point to a fully diluted market cap near $1.1 billion at the $16–$18 per share range for 2.5 million shares. This adjustment, amid a pre-revenue small modular reactor developer still advancing its first underground pilot under the DOE Reactor Pilot Program, has driven trader consensus toward the sub-$1.25 billion and $1.25–$1.5 billion brackets as the most likely closing outcomes. Skepticism around commercialization timelines, execution risk for the novel borehole deployment approach, and broader market caution on early-stage nuclear plays for AI power demand reinforce the lower implied probabilities for higher valuation bands. The Nasdaq listing under FISN remains the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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