Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, fueled by real-time commentary on cultural debates, tech milestones, and company updates, anchors trader expectations in the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12–19 window. Over the past week, his activity has featured pointed takes on literary casting controversies, the simulation hypothesis, X surpassing one billion downloads, and ongoing Grok AI enhancements, all of which sustain steady engagement without an unusual spike or slowdown. Historical weekly averages for Musk hover near this band during periods of mixed news flow, and the absence of major product launches or election cycles in recent days has kept momentum stable. With only one day left before the period closes, any late surge in public discourse could nudge totals toward the upper end of the leading brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 40.0%
200-219 36.1%
220-239 14.1%
160-179 7.0%
$9,754,781 Vol.
$9,754,781 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
7%
180-199
40%
200-219
36%
220-239
14%
240-259
4%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 40.0%
200-219 36.1%
220-239 14.1%
160-179 7.0%
$9,754,781 Vol.
$9,754,781 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
$719,993 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$491,154 Vol.
7%
180-199
$385,032 Vol.
40%
200-219
$371,030 Vol.
36%
220-239
$396,318 Vol.
14%
240-259
$314,321 Vol.
4%
260-279
$297,600 Vol.
1%
280-299
$277,136 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$327,830 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,255 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,349 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,804 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,329 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$545,703 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,847 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,158 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,054 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, fueled by real-time commentary on cultural debates, tech milestones, and company updates, anchors trader expectations in the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12–19 window. Over the past week, his activity has featured pointed takes on literary casting controversies, the simulation hypothesis, X surpassing one billion downloads, and ongoing Grok AI enhancements, all of which sustain steady engagement without an unusual spike or slowdown. Historical weekly averages for Musk hover near this band during periods of mixed news flow, and the absence of major product launches or election cycles in recent days has kept momentum stable. With only one day left before the period closes, any late surge in public discourse could nudge totals toward the upper end of the leading brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,754,781End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, fueled by real-time commentary on cultural debates, tech milestones, and company updates, anchors trader expectations in the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12–19 window. Over the past week, his activity has featured pointed takes on literary casting controversies, the simulation hypothesis, X surpassing one billion downloads, and ongoing Grok AI enhancements, all of which sustain steady engagement without an unusual spike or slowdown. Historical weekly averages for Musk hover near this band during periods of mixed news flow, and the absence of major product launches or election cycles in recent days has kept momentum stable. With only one day left before the period closes, any late surge in public discourse could nudge totals toward the upper end of the leading brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,754,781End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, fueled by real-time commentary on cultural debates, tech milestones, and company updates, anchors trader expectations in the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12–19 window. Over the past week, his activity has featured pointed takes on literary casting controversies, the simulation hypothesis, X surpassing one billion downloads, and ongoing Grok AI enhancements, all of which sustain steady engagement without an unusual spike or slowdown. Historical weekly averages for Musk hover near this band during periods of mixed news flow, and the absence of major product launches or election cycles in recent days has kept momentum stable. With only one day left before the period closes, any late surge in public discourse could nudge totals toward the upper end of the leading brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions