Traders are concentrating bets on the 200-219 tweet range for Elon Musk this week, driven by his established pattern of high-volume posting on X during periods without major product launches or regulatory announcements. Recent activity shows steady output focused on AI developments, Tesla updates, and public commentary, keeping daily averages aligned with historical norms for mid-May. With the measurement window closing May 19, limited time remains for any last-minute spikes, though unexpected news could still shift the final tally. Market-implied odds reflect this consistent engagement trajectory rather than any single catalyst, underscoring how routine platform activity shapes the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 47.8%
180-199 26.4%
220-239 22.4%
240-259 3.1%
$9,892,809 Vol.
$9,892,809 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
26%
200-219
48%
220-239
22%
240-259
3%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 47.8%
180-199 26.4%
220-239 22.4%
240-259 3.1%
$9,892,809 Vol.
$9,892,809 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
$720,063 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$520,689 Vol.
1%
180-199
$402,481 Vol.
26%
200-219
$381,078 Vol.
48%
220-239
$423,620 Vol.
22%
240-259
$328,272 Vol.
3%
260-279
$310,171 Vol.
1%
280-299
$284,278 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$331,738 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,255 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,349 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,804 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,329 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$556,645 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,847 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,158 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,054 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are concentrating bets on the 200-219 tweet range for Elon Musk this week, driven by his established pattern of high-volume posting on X during periods without major product launches or regulatory announcements. Recent activity shows steady output focused on AI developments, Tesla updates, and public commentary, keeping daily averages aligned with historical norms for mid-May. With the measurement window closing May 19, limited time remains for any last-minute spikes, though unexpected news could still shift the final tally. Market-implied odds reflect this consistent engagement trajectory rather than any single catalyst, underscoring how routine platform activity shapes the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,892,809End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are concentrating bets on the 200-219 tweet range for Elon Musk this week, driven by his established pattern of high-volume posting on X during periods without major product launches or regulatory announcements. Recent activity shows steady output focused on AI developments, Tesla updates, and public commentary, keeping daily averages aligned with historical norms for mid-May. With the measurement window closing May 19, limited time remains for any last-minute spikes, though unexpected news could still shift the final tally. Market-implied odds reflect this consistent engagement trajectory rather than any single catalyst, underscoring how routine platform activity shapes the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,892,809End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are concentrating bets on the 200-219 tweet range for Elon Musk this week, driven by his established pattern of high-volume posting on X during periods without major product launches or regulatory announcements. Recent activity shows steady output focused on AI developments, Tesla updates, and public commentary, keeping daily averages aligned with historical norms for mid-May. With the measurement window closing May 19, limited time remains for any last-minute spikes, though unexpected news could still shift the final tally. Market-implied odds reflect this consistent engagement trajectory rather than any single catalyst, underscoring how routine platform activity shapes the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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