Traders see the 180-199 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s activity on X from May 15-22, reflecting his established weekly rhythm of company updates, real-time reactions, and personal commentary. Mid-week pace through May 18 has kept output steady but not explosive, with recent Tesla and SpaceX developments providing regular but not overwhelming catalysts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume often clusters in the low-to-mid 200s when news cycles are active, yet quieter stretches can pull totals lower. With several days left, any high-profile announcement or viral exchange could shift momentum toward higher brackets, while subdued engagement would reinforce the current frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 23%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.8%
140-159 12%
$4,357,546 Vol.
$4,357,546 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
12%
160-179
20%
180-199
23%
200-219
18%
220-239
10%
240-259
7%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 23%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.8%
140-159 12%
$4,357,546 Vol.
$4,357,546 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
12%
160-179
20%
180-199
23%
200-219
18%
220-239
10%
240-259
7%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 180-199 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk’s activity on X from May 15-22, reflecting his established weekly rhythm of company updates, real-time reactions, and personal commentary. Mid-week pace through May 18 has kept output steady but not explosive, with recent Tesla and SpaceX developments providing regular but not overwhelming catalysts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume often clusters in the low-to-mid 200s when news cycles are active, yet quieter stretches can pull totals lower. With several days left, any high-profile announcement or viral exchange could shift momentum toward higher brackets, while subdued engagement would reinforce the current frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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