Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 23%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.5%
140-159 12%
$4,354,821 Vol.
$4,354,821 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
12%
160-179
20%
180-199
23%
200-219
18%
220-239
10%
240-259
7%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 23%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.5%
140-159 12%
$4,354,821 Vol.
$4,354,821 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
$260,849 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$279,209 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$245,640 Vol.
1%
120-139
$180,198 Vol.
2%
140-159
$160,619 Vol.
12%
160-179
$132,640 Vol.
20%
180-199
$114,012 Vol.
23%
200-219
$160,972 Vol.
18%
220-239
$155,081 Vol.
10%
240-259
$116,789 Vol.
7%
260-279
$128,000 Vol.
3%
280-299
$118,832 Vol.
2%
300-319
$144,500 Vol.
2%
320-339
$123,657 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$145,991 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$136,455 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$161,140 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$168,844 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$238,020 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$125,876 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$168,834 Vol.
<1%
500+
$269,821 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,354,821End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,354,821End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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