Elon Musk's consistent engagement on X, fueled by his roles at Tesla, SpaceX, and public commentary on AI and politics, continues to anchor trader sentiment around the 40-64 tweet range for May 16-18. This implied probability reflects typical daily output patterns during non-event weeks, with recent posts focusing on FSD updates, Starship milestones, and cultural debates showing steady but not accelerated activity. The close second at 65-89 captures potential spikes from ongoing product discussions or replies, while sub-40 or 90+ buckets remain minimal due to historical volume without major launches or controversies. Upcoming chart updates and any late announcements could nudge the midpoint, but current momentum favors moderate output consistent with his established X presence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 57%
65-89 39%
90-114 2.1%
115-139 <1%
$942,353 Vol.
$942,353 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
57%
65-89
39%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 57%
65-89 39%
90-114 2.1%
115-139 <1%
$942,353 Vol.
$942,353 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$345,617 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$97,194 Vol.
57%
65-89
$95,503 Vol.
39%
90-114
$118,524 Vol.
2%
115-139
$99,677 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$62,186 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent engagement on X, fueled by his roles at Tesla, SpaceX, and public commentary on AI and politics, continues to anchor trader sentiment around the 40-64 tweet range for May 16-18. This implied probability reflects typical daily output patterns during non-event weeks, with recent posts focusing on FSD updates, Starship milestones, and cultural debates showing steady but not accelerated activity. The close second at 65-89 captures potential spikes from ongoing product discussions or replies, while sub-40 or 90+ buckets remain minimal due to historical volume without major launches or controversies. Upcoming chart updates and any late announcements could nudge the midpoint, but current momentum favors moderate output consistent with his established X presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$942,353End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent engagement on X, fueled by his roles at Tesla, SpaceX, and public commentary on AI and politics, continues to anchor trader sentiment around the 40-64 tweet range for May 16-18. This implied probability reflects typical daily output patterns during non-event weeks, with recent posts focusing on FSD updates, Starship milestones, and cultural debates showing steady but not accelerated activity. The close second at 65-89 captures potential spikes from ongoing product discussions or replies, while sub-40 or 90+ buckets remain minimal due to historical volume without major launches or controversies. Upcoming chart updates and any late announcements could nudge the midpoint, but current momentum favors moderate output consistent with his established X presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$942,353End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's consistent engagement on X, fueled by his roles at Tesla, SpaceX, and public commentary on AI and politics, continues to anchor trader sentiment around the 40-64 tweet range for May 16-18. This implied probability reflects typical daily output patterns during non-event weeks, with recent posts focusing on FSD updates, Starship milestones, and cultural debates showing steady but not accelerated activity. The close second at 65-89 captures potential spikes from ongoing product discussions or replies, while sub-40 or 90+ buckets remain minimal due to historical volume without major launches or controversies. Upcoming chart updates and any late announcements could nudge the midpoint, but current momentum favors moderate output consistent with his established X presence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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