Elon Musk's established pattern of high-frequency posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily output of 15-25 posts amid ongoing platform engagement. Recent activity has centered on Tesla's Full Self-Driving software updates, Starship development milestones, and pointed political observations, all of which have sustained steady reply chains and quote interactions without any major slowdown or spike. With the three-day period wrapping up imminently, market-implied odds favor moderate volume consistent with Musk's baseline cadence rather than an outlier surge, as confirmed public statements and verified X activity show no abrupt shifts in his communication style.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 60%
65-89 40%
90-114 1.9%
115-139 <1%
$928,621 Vol.
$928,621 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
60%
65-89
40%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 60%
65-89 40%
90-114 1.9%
115-139 <1%
$928,621 Vol.
$928,621 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$345,617 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$92,999 Vol.
60%
65-89
$93,955 Vol.
40%
90-114
$116,731 Vol.
2%
115-139
$93,152 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$62,186 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-frequency posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily output of 15-25 posts amid ongoing platform engagement. Recent activity has centered on Tesla's Full Self-Driving software updates, Starship development milestones, and pointed political observations, all of which have sustained steady reply chains and quote interactions without any major slowdown or spike. With the three-day period wrapping up imminently, market-implied odds favor moderate volume consistent with Musk's baseline cadence rather than an outlier surge, as confirmed public statements and verified X activity show no abrupt shifts in his communication style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$928,621End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-frequency posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily output of 15-25 posts amid ongoing platform engagement. Recent activity has centered on Tesla's Full Self-Driving software updates, Starship development milestones, and pointed political observations, all of which have sustained steady reply chains and quote interactions without any major slowdown or spike. With the three-day period wrapping up imminently, market-implied odds favor moderate volume consistent with Musk's baseline cadence rather than an outlier surge, as confirmed public statements and verified X activity show no abrupt shifts in his communication style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$928,621End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established pattern of high-frequency posting on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily output of 15-25 posts amid ongoing platform engagement. Recent activity has centered on Tesla's Full Self-Driving software updates, Starship development milestones, and pointed political observations, all of which have sustained steady reply chains and quote interactions without any major slowdown or spike. With the three-day period wrapping up imminently, market-implied odds favor moderate volume consistent with Musk's baseline cadence rather than an outlier surge, as confirmed public statements and verified X activity show no abrupt shifts in his communication style.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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