Traders are centering their expectations for Elon Musk’s X activity during May 19-26, 2026, in the 180-220 tweet range because his established posting cadence has remained steady at roughly 25-35 posts per day over recent weeks. This baseline reflects ongoing engagement with news cycles, company updates, and cultural commentary, with no major travel schedules or external commitments announced that would materially alter volume. The tight clustering of probabilities around these bins underscores how daily output can swing with breaking events or viral topics, yet historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless a high-profile development emerges. Market participants are watching for any late-week announcements that could push totals higher or prompt a quieter stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 13%
220-239 13%
$237,276 Vol.
$237,276 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
13%
240-259
9%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 13%
220-239 13%
$237,276 Vol.
$237,276 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
13%
240-259
9%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders are centering their expectations for Elon Musk’s X activity during May 19-26, 2026, in the 180-220 tweet range because his established posting cadence has remained steady at roughly 25-35 posts per day over recent weeks. This baseline reflects ongoing engagement with news cycles, company updates, and cultural commentary, with no major travel schedules or external commitments announced that would materially alter volume. The tight clustering of probabilities around these bins underscores how daily output can swing with breaking events or viral topics, yet historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless a high-profile development emerges. Market participants are watching for any late-week announcements that could push totals higher or prompt a quieter stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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