Finland leads trader consensus for a top 3 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, bolstered by its commanding Semi-Final 1 performance on May 12 alongside qualifiers Greece and Israel, which aligned with strong rehearsal buzz and bookmakers' odds favoring their "Liekinheitin," "Ferto," and entries. These developments have tightened markets around Nordic and Balkan frontrunners, reflecting historical voting patterns where jury praise for vocals and staging meets televote appeal from catchy hooks. Denmark and Sweden loom as Semi-Final 2 threats on May 14, potentially shaking top 3 probabilities before the May 16 grand final, where Big 5 auto-qualifiers like France add wildcard volatility amid unpredictable bloc voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Top 3
Eurovision 2026: Top 3
$247,948 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Finland
78%
Denmark
45%
Greece
38%
Israel
37%
France
32%
Australia
28%
Romania
22%
Italy
14%
Ukraine
10%
Croatia
8%
Bulgaria
7%
Malta
5%
Serbia
5%
Sweden
5%
Cyprus
4%
Moldova
4%
Czechia
4%
Albania
4%
Armenia
3%
Norway
2%
Latvia
2%
Luxembourg
2%
Belgium
1%
United Kingdom
1%
Switzerland
1%
Poland
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
Germany
1%
Lithuania
<1%
Austria
<1%
$247,948 Vol.
Finland
$67,957 Vol.
78%
Denmark
$24,908 Vol.
45%
Greece
$45,857 Vol.
38%
Israel
$10,239 Vol.
37%
France
$11,333 Vol.
32%
Australia
$2,988 Vol.
28%
Romania
$6,019 Vol.
22%
Italy
$4,802 Vol.
14%
Ukraine
$6,074 Vol.
10%
Croatia
$1,228 Vol.
8%
Bulgaria
$760 Vol.
7%
Malta
$3,175 Vol.
5%
Serbia
$412 Vol.
5%
Sweden
$2,254 Vol.
5%
Cyprus
$742 Vol.
4%
Moldova
$2,004 Vol.
4%
Czechia
$327 Vol.
4%
Albania
$346 Vol.
4%
Armenia
$861 Vol.
3%
Norway
$4,623 Vol.
2%
Latvia
$1,086 Vol.
2%
Luxembourg
$1,004 Vol.
2%
Belgium
$529 Vol.
1%
United Kingdom
$357 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$365 Vol.
1%
Poland
$6,712 Vol.
1%
Azerbaijan
$1,892 Vol.
1%
Germany
$8,483 Vol.
1%
Lithuania
$6,419 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$856 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus for a top 3 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, bolstered by its commanding Semi-Final 1 performance on May 12 alongside qualifiers Greece and Israel, which aligned with strong rehearsal buzz and bookmakers' odds favoring their "Liekinheitin," "Ferto," and entries. These developments have tightened markets around Nordic and Balkan frontrunners, reflecting historical voting patterns where jury praise for vocals and staging meets televote appeal from catchy hooks. Denmark and Sweden loom as Semi-Final 2 threats on May 14, potentially shaking top 3 probabilities before the May 16 grand final, where Big 5 auto-qualifiers like France add wildcard volatility amid unpredictable bloc voting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$247,948End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus for a top 3 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, bolstered by its commanding Semi-Final 1 performance on May 12 alongside qualifiers Greece and Israel, which aligned with strong rehearsal buzz and bookmakers' odds favoring their "Liekinheitin," "Ferto," and entries. These developments have tightened markets around Nordic and Balkan frontrunners, reflecting historical voting patterns where jury praise for vocals and staging meets televote appeal from catchy hooks. Denmark and Sweden loom as Semi-Final 2 threats on May 14, potentially shaking top 3 probabilities before the May 16 grand final, where Big 5 auto-qualifiers like France add wildcard volatility amid unpredictable bloc voting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$247,948End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Finland leads trader consensus for a top 3 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, bolstered by its commanding Semi-Final 1 performance on May 12 alongside qualifiers Greece and Israel, which aligned with strong rehearsal buzz and bookmakers' odds favoring their "Liekinheitin," "Ferto," and entries. These developments have tightened markets around Nordic and Balkan frontrunners, reflecting historical voting patterns where jury praise for vocals and staging meets televote appeal from catchy hooks. Denmark and Sweden loom as Semi-Final 2 threats on May 14, potentially shaking top 3 probabilities before the May 16 grand final, where Big 5 auto-qualifiers like France add wildcard volatility amid unpredictable bloc voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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