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icon for FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Florida

FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Florida

FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Eric Yonce 69%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera 29%

Steve Morgan 1.6%

Robert Cooper 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Eric Yonce 69%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera 29%

Steve Morgan 1.6%

Robert Cooper 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Eric Yonce

$834 Vol.

69%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera

$2,446 Vol.

29%

Steve Morgan

$396 Vol.

2%

Robert Cooper

$588 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Yonce leads the FL-06 Democratic primary market at 68.5% implied probability, ahead of Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera at 29%, with Steve Morgan and Robert Cooper II each below 2%. Yonce holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting roughly $285,000 raised and $86,000 cash on hand as of late June, compared with lower totals for rivals. His background as a lifelong district resident, realtor, and small business owner aligns with voter priorities on local issues ahead of the August 18 primary. A July debate among the four main candidates and the start of early voting in key counties such as Putnam have reinforced trader focus on Yonce’s organizational advantages. The remaining field shows limited momentum, consistent with historical patterns where better-funded challengers consolidate support in low-profile Florida House primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,264
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Yonce leads the FL-06 Democratic primary market at 68.5% implied probability, ahead of Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera at 29%, with Steve Morgan and Robert Cooper II each below 2%. Yonce holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting roughly $285,000 raised and $86,000 cash on hand as of late June, compared with lower totals for rivals. His background as a lifelong district resident, realtor, and small business owner aligns with voter priorities on local issues ahead of the August 18 primary. A July debate among the four main candidates and the start of early voting in key counties such as Putnam have reinforced trader focus on Yonce’s organizational advantages. The remaining field shows limited momentum, consistent with historical patterns where better-funded challengers consolidate support in low-profile Florida House primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,264
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Yonce" at 69%, followed by "Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Eric Yonce" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.