Traders heavily favor No Prison Time at 86.1% because Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing New York rape retrial has produced no new conviction, with jury deliberations stalled amid health concerns and prior mixed verdicts. The 73-year-old former producer faces a potential mistrial after the case reached its third iteration, while his upheld Los Angeles sentence and pending Manhattan sentencing remain under appeal and could run concurrently with time already served. Recent developments, including Weinstein’s reported chest pains during proceedings and defense emphasis on consent and credibility issues, have reinforced trader sentiment that additional prison time beyond existing terms is unlikely in the near term. Upcoming catalysts include the outcome of current deliberations and any sentencing hearing on the separate sexual assault conviction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHarvey Weinstein prison time?
Harvey Weinstein prison time?
No Prison Time 86.1%
<5 years 6.4%
30+ years 3.1%
5-10 years 2.8%
$966,204 Vol.
$966,204 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
No Prison Time
86%
<5 years
6%
5-10 years
3%
10-20 years
1%
20-30 years
2%
30+ years
3%
No Prison Time 86.1%
<5 years 6.4%
30+ years 3.1%
5-10 years 2.8%
$966,204 Vol.
$966,204 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
No Prison Time
$338,148 Vol.
86%
<5 years
$129,985 Vol.
6%
5-10 years
$78,063 Vol.
3%
10-20 years
$153,612 Vol.
1%
20-30 years
$194,786 Vol.
2%
30+ years
$71,610 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders heavily favor No Prison Time at 86.1% because Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing New York rape retrial has produced no new conviction, with jury deliberations stalled amid health concerns and prior mixed verdicts. The 73-year-old former producer faces a potential mistrial after the case reached its third iteration, while his upheld Los Angeles sentence and pending Manhattan sentencing remain under appeal and could run concurrently with time already served. Recent developments, including Weinstein’s reported chest pains during proceedings and defense emphasis on consent and credibility issues, have reinforced trader sentiment that additional prison time beyond existing terms is unlikely in the near term. Upcoming catalysts include the outcome of current deliberations and any sentencing hearing on the separate sexual assault conviction.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$966,204End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders heavily favor No Prison Time at 86.1% because Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing New York rape retrial has produced no new conviction, with jury deliberations stalled amid health concerns and prior mixed verdicts. The 73-year-old former producer faces a potential mistrial after the case reached its third iteration, while his upheld Los Angeles sentence and pending Manhattan sentencing remain under appeal and could run concurrently with time already served. Recent developments, including Weinstein’s reported chest pains during proceedings and defense emphasis on consent and credibility issues, have reinforced trader sentiment that additional prison time beyond existing terms is unlikely in the near term. Upcoming catalysts include the outcome of current deliberations and any sentencing hearing on the separate sexual assault conviction.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$966,204End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor No Prison Time at 86.1% because Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing New York rape retrial has produced no new conviction, with jury deliberations stalled amid health concerns and prior mixed verdicts. The 73-year-old former producer faces a potential mistrial after the case reached its third iteration, while his upheld Los Angeles sentence and pending Manhattan sentencing remain under appeal and could run concurrently with time already served. Recent developments, including Weinstein’s reported chest pains during proceedings and defense emphasis on consent and credibility issues, have reinforced trader sentiment that additional prison time beyond existing terms is unlikely in the near term. Upcoming catalysts include the outcome of current deliberations and any sentencing hearing on the separate sexual assault conviction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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