Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan on July 10 most likely peaking near 31–32°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity typical of the East Sea region moderate afternoon temperatures, while variable cloud cover and scattered precipitation reduce solar heating enough to prevent stronger warming. These factors create tight uncertainty around the daily maximum, as small shifts in timing or intensity of any showers could tip the observed high between 30°C and 33°C. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 10?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 10?
31°C 61%
32°C 21%
30°C 7%
33°C 5.3%
NEW
$23,232 Vol.
NEW
$23,232 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
7%
31°C
61%
32°C
21%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 61%
32°C 21%
30°C 7%
33°C 5.3%
NEW
$23,232 Vol.
NEW
$23,232 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
26°C or below
$2,231 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$684 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$794 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,307 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,672 Vol.
7%
31°C
$2,227 Vol.
61%
32°C
$4,890 Vol.
21%
33°C
$1,484 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,002 Vol.
1%
35°C
$969 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,978 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan on July 10 most likely peaking near 31–32°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity typical of the East Sea region moderate afternoon temperatures, while variable cloud cover and scattered precipitation reduce solar heating enough to prevent stronger warming. These factors create tight uncertainty around the daily maximum, as small shifts in timing or intensity of any showers could tip the observed high between 30°C and 33°C. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$23,232End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan on July 10 most likely peaking near 31–32°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity typical of the East Sea region moderate afternoon temperatures, while variable cloud cover and scattered precipitation reduce solar heating enough to prevent stronger warming. These factors create tight uncertainty around the daily maximum, as small shifts in timing or intensity of any showers could tip the observed high between 30°C and 33°C. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,232End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan on July 10 most likely peaking near 31–32°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity typical of the East Sea region moderate afternoon temperatures, while variable cloud cover and scattered precipitation reduce solar heating enough to prevent stronger warming. These factors create tight uncertainty around the daily maximum, as small shifts in timing or intensity of any showers could tip the observed high between 30°C and 33°C. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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