Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a daily maximum in Busan on July 16 centered in the low-to-mid 30s °C, driven by strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only modest sea-breeze moderation from the East Sea. Typical July climatology yields afternoon highs near 29 °C, yet persistent regional heatwave conditions and elevated 850 hPa temperatures are supporting upward departures of 3–5 °C. Key variables separating 33 °C from 34–35 °C outcomes include exact timing and coverage of any residual monsoon moisture, boundary-layer wind speed, and model spread in surface sensible-heat flux. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble plumes expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 16?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 16?
33°C 37%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
18%
33°C
37%
34°C
29%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 16, 2026
29°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$953 Vol.
3%
31°C
$136 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,123 Vol.
18%
33°C
$117 Vol.
37%
34°C
$1,193 Vol.
29%
35°C
$821 Vol.
7%
36°C
$1,658 Vol.
1%
37°C
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$648 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a daily maximum in Busan on July 16 centered in the low-to-mid 30s °C, driven by strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only modest sea-breeze moderation from the East Sea. Typical July climatology yields afternoon highs near 29 °C, yet persistent regional heatwave conditions and elevated 850 hPa temperatures are supporting upward departures of 3–5 °C. Key variables separating 33 °C from 34–35 °C outcomes include exact timing and coverage of any residual monsoon moisture, boundary-layer wind speed, and model spread in surface sensible-heat flux. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble plumes expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,449End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a daily maximum in Busan on July 16 centered in the low-to-mid 30s °C, driven by strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only modest sea-breeze moderation from the East Sea. Typical July climatology yields afternoon highs near 29 °C, yet persistent regional heatwave conditions and elevated 850 hPa temperatures are supporting upward departures of 3–5 °C. Key variables separating 33 °C from 34–35 °C outcomes include exact timing and coverage of any residual monsoon moisture, boundary-layer wind speed, and model spread in surface sensible-heat flux. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble plumes expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,449End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a daily maximum in Busan on July 16 centered in the low-to-mid 30s °C, driven by strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only modest sea-breeze moderation from the East Sea. Typical July climatology yields afternoon highs near 29 °C, yet persistent regional heatwave conditions and elevated 850 hPa temperatures are supporting upward departures of 3–5 °C. Key variables separating 33 °C from 34–35 °C outcomes include exact timing and coverage of any residual monsoon moisture, boundary-layer wind speed, and model spread in surface sensible-heat flux. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble plumes expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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