Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models point to a daily high near 28–31°C in Chengdu on June 16, 2026, with widespread cloud cover and light rain expected to limit solar heating. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%) as the leading outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer monsoon influences and the current pattern of overcast skies that has suppressed daytime maxima in the preceding days. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, but short-term model consensus favors cooler readings given persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Updated CMA or ECMWF guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely drive any shifts in these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C o menos 38%
28°C 25%
29°C 16%
30°C 12%
27°C o menos
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
27°C o menos 38%
28°C 25%
29°C 16%
30°C 12%
27°C o menos
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models point to a daily high near 28–31°C in Chengdu on June 16, 2026, with widespread cloud cover and light rain expected to limit solar heating. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%) as the leading outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer monsoon influences and the current pattern of overcast skies that has suppressed daytime maxima in the preceding days. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, but short-term model consensus favors cooler readings given persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Updated CMA or ECMWF guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely drive any shifts in these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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