Current National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high near 94 °F for Denver, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93 °F bins, reflecting model consensus on diurnal warming under a late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures moderated by seasonal cooling trends and variable moisture. Thunderstorm timing remains the key uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower end of the favored range, while clearer skies would support readings closer to 93 °F. No major pattern shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these official forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 24?
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 31%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
31%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 31%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
$90 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$90 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$97 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$45 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$263 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$183 Vol.
11%
90-91°F
$863 Vol.
51%
92-93°F
$380 Vol.
31%
94-95°F
$48 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$60 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$117 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high near 94 °F for Denver, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93 °F bins, reflecting model consensus on diurnal warming under a late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures moderated by seasonal cooling trends and variable moisture. Thunderstorm timing remains the key uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower end of the favored range, while clearer skies would support readings closer to 93 °F. No major pattern shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these official forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,237End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high near 94 °F for Denver, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93 °F bins, reflecting model consensus on diurnal warming under a late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures moderated by seasonal cooling trends and variable moisture. Thunderstorm timing remains the key uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower end of the favored range, while clearer skies would support readings closer to 93 °F. No major pattern shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these official forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,237End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high near 94 °F for Denver, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93 °F bins, reflecting model consensus on diurnal warming under a late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures moderated by seasonal cooling trends and variable moisture. Thunderstorm timing remains the key uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower end of the favored range, while clearer skies would support readings closer to 93 °F. No major pattern shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these official forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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