Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to monsoonal moisture surging northward, triggering widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the Denver Front Range on July 23 and capping the daily high near 88 °F. This shift follows several days of 100 °F readings under dry southwesterly flow, with increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and southeasterly steering currents expected to limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows July highs averaging 88–92 °F, but the current pattern’s elevated precipitable water and potential for early-day convection favor the narrow 86–89 °F range that now dominates market-implied probabilities. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will further refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on July 23?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 23?
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 9%
NEW
$11,610 Vol.
NEW
$11,610 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 9%
NEW
$11,610 Vol.
NEW
$11,610 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
75°F or below
$235 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$392 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$358 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$525 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$593 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$1,145 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$5,290 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$460 Vol.
30%
90-91°F
$1,630 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$257 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$777 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to monsoonal moisture surging northward, triggering widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the Denver Front Range on July 23 and capping the daily high near 88 °F. This shift follows several days of 100 °F readings under dry southwesterly flow, with increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and southeasterly steering currents expected to limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows July highs averaging 88–92 °F, but the current pattern’s elevated precipitable water and potential for early-day convection favor the narrow 86–89 °F range that now dominates market-implied probabilities. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will further refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$11,610End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to monsoonal moisture surging northward, triggering widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the Denver Front Range on July 23 and capping the daily high near 88 °F. This shift follows several days of 100 °F readings under dry southwesterly flow, with increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and southeasterly steering currents expected to limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows July highs averaging 88–92 °F, but the current pattern’s elevated precipitable water and potential for early-day convection favor the narrow 86–89 °F range that now dominates market-implied probabilities. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will further refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,610End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to monsoonal moisture surging northward, triggering widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the Denver Front Range on July 23 and capping the daily high near 88 °F. This shift follows several days of 100 °F readings under dry southwesterly flow, with increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and southeasterly steering currents expected to limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows July highs averaging 88–92 °F, but the current pattern’s elevated precipitable water and potential for early-day convection favor the narrow 86–89 °F range that now dominates market-implied probabilities. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will further refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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