Current numerical weather models from AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological services project a daytime high near 32°C in Jinan on September 6 under mostly sunny skies driven by a warm air mass, light winds, and high pressure. This setup aligns with recent observations showing daytime peaks of 31–34°C and supports the market’s 96% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical early-September averages hover around 27–29°C, but the present pattern favors above-normal warmth. Traders are watching the next official China Meteorological Administration forecast updates and any last model runs for signs of increased cloud cover or a timing shift in the high-pressure ridge that could trim the maximum by a few degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 6?
26°C or higher 96%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological services project a daytime high near 32°C in Jinan on September 6 under mostly sunny skies driven by a warm air mass, light winds, and high pressure. This setup aligns with recent observations showing daytime peaks of 31–34°C and supports the market’s 96% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical early-September averages hover around 27–29°C, but the present pattern favors above-normal warmth. Traders are watching the next official China Meteorological Administration forecast updates and any last model runs for signs of increased cloud cover or a timing shift in the high-pressure ridge that could trim the maximum by a few degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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