Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department position 39°C as the most probable peak for Lucknow on June 18 under pre-monsoon subsidence, intense solar heating, and limited moisture influx across the Indo-Gangetic plains. Recent mid-June observations show realized maxima clustered in the 38–40°C range with near-normal departures, aligning with the market’s 38.5% implied probability on 39°C and secondary weighting on 38°C. Model consensus supports modest afternoon convection or light winds that could cap extremes below 41°C while preventing sharp drops, though any late-day cloud buildup or earlier monsoon surge remains the key uncertainty. Traders price these thresholds heavily given the resolution’s reliance on official station data and the narrow window before tomorrow’s reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 18 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 18 de junio?
39°C 39%
38°C 22%
40°C 16%
41°C 8.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
32°C o menos
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
7%
38°C
22%
39°C
39%
40°C
16%
41°C
8%
42°C o más
3%
39°C 39%
38°C 22%
40°C 16%
41°C 8.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
32°C o menos
$624 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$745 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,301 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$735 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,322 Vol.
2%
37°C
$672 Vol.
7%
38°C
$736 Vol.
22%
39°C
$449 Vol.
39%
40°C
$1,219 Vol.
16%
41°C
$919 Vol.
8%
42°C o más
$874 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department position 39°C as the most probable peak for Lucknow on June 18 under pre-monsoon subsidence, intense solar heating, and limited moisture influx across the Indo-Gangetic plains. Recent mid-June observations show realized maxima clustered in the 38–40°C range with near-normal departures, aligning with the market’s 38.5% implied probability on 39°C and secondary weighting on 38°C. Model consensus supports modest afternoon convection or light winds that could cap extremes below 41°C while preventing sharp drops, though any late-day cloud buildup or earlier monsoon surge remains the key uncertainty. Traders price these thresholds heavily given the resolution’s reliance on official station data and the narrow window before tomorrow’s reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$9,596Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department position 39°C as the most probable peak for Lucknow on June 18 under pre-monsoon subsidence, intense solar heating, and limited moisture influx across the Indo-Gangetic plains. Recent mid-June observations show realized maxima clustered in the 38–40°C range with near-normal departures, aligning with the market’s 38.5% implied probability on 39°C and secondary weighting on 38°C. Model consensus supports modest afternoon convection or light winds that could cap extremes below 41°C while preventing sharp drops, though any late-day cloud buildup or earlier monsoon surge remains the key uncertainty. Traders price these thresholds heavily given the resolution’s reliance on official station data and the narrow window before tomorrow’s reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,596Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department position 39°C as the most probable peak for Lucknow on June 18 under pre-monsoon subsidence, intense solar heating, and limited moisture influx across the Indo-Gangetic plains. Recent mid-June observations show realized maxima clustered in the 38–40°C range with near-normal departures, aligning with the market’s 38.5% implied probability on 39°C and secondary weighting on 38°C. Model consensus supports modest afternoon convection or light winds that could cap extremes below 41°C while preventing sharp drops, though any late-day cloud buildup or earlier monsoon surge remains the key uncertainty. Traders price these thresholds heavily given the resolution’s reliance on official station data and the narrow window before tomorrow’s reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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