Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks indicate Moscow highs near 19°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow, scattered cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorm potential that could cap daytime warming through reduced insolation. These conditions align with historical June baselines of 20–22°C while reflecting short-term variability from low-pressure influences and precipitation timing. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C captures genuine model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and frontal passage, where even 1–2°C differences hinge on precise convective timing and surface energy fluxes. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds for the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on June 17?
18°C 23%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C 17%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
17%
17°C
21%
18°C
23%
19°C
18%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 23%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C 17%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
17%
17°C
21%
18°C
23%
19°C
18%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks indicate Moscow highs near 19°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow, scattered cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorm potential that could cap daytime warming through reduced insolation. These conditions align with historical June baselines of 20–22°C while reflecting short-term variability from low-pressure influences and precipitation timing. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C captures genuine model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and frontal passage, where even 1–2°C differences hinge on precise convective timing and surface energy fluxes. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds for the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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