Forecast model ensembles for Panama City on July 10 show high uncertainty around the daily maximum, with guidance clustering near 29–31°C amid the ongoing wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity frequently caps peak readings through cloud cover and scattered showers, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed onset of rain could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher. Recent satellite and surface observations indicate typical early-July conditions with sea-surface temperatures supporting above-normal moisture but limited large-scale subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly across the leading bins, reflecting the narrow historical range and sensitivity to short-term steering patterns. Updated regional model runs and official Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance expected overnight will likely refine the most probable outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 10?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 10?
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 18.6%
29°C 10%
NEW
$10,335 Vol.
NEW
$10,335 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
26%
31°C
37%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 18.6%
29°C 10%
NEW
$10,335 Vol.
NEW
$10,335 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,598 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$780 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$809 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$748 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,388 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,892 Vol.
10%
30°C
$140 Vol.
26%
31°C
$555 Vol.
37%
32°C
$855 Vol.
19%
33°C
$1,357 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$214 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model ensembles for Panama City on July 10 show high uncertainty around the daily maximum, with guidance clustering near 29–31°C amid the ongoing wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity frequently caps peak readings through cloud cover and scattered showers, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed onset of rain could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher. Recent satellite and surface observations indicate typical early-July conditions with sea-surface temperatures supporting above-normal moisture but limited large-scale subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly across the leading bins, reflecting the narrow historical range and sensitivity to short-term steering patterns. Updated regional model runs and official Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance expected overnight will likely refine the most probable outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,335End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model ensembles for Panama City on July 10 show high uncertainty around the daily maximum, with guidance clustering near 29–31°C amid the ongoing wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity frequently caps peak readings through cloud cover and scattered showers, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed onset of rain could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher. Recent satellite and surface observations indicate typical early-July conditions with sea-surface temperatures supporting above-normal moisture but limited large-scale subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly across the leading bins, reflecting the narrow historical range and sensitivity to short-term steering patterns. Updated regional model runs and official Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance expected overnight will likely refine the most probable outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,335End Date
Jul 10, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model ensembles for Panama City on July 10 show high uncertainty around the daily maximum, with guidance clustering near 29–31°C amid the ongoing wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity frequently caps peak readings through cloud cover and scattered showers, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed onset of rain could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher. Recent satellite and surface observations indicate typical early-July conditions with sea-surface temperatures supporting above-normal moisture but limited large-scale subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly across the leading bins, reflecting the narrow historical range and sensitivity to short-term steering patterns. Updated regional model runs and official Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance expected overnight will likely refine the most probable outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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