Recent short-range forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime maxima near 30–32°C on July 9 amid the wet-season pattern of high humidity, scattered convection, and afternoon thunderstorms that frequently limit peak heating. Latest model consensus shows modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover or delayed storm development, supporting the narrow edge for 33°C and 32°C outcomes in trader pricing. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, with occasional spikes above 32°C when subsidence strengthens or sea-breeze effects are minimized. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of convective activity plus any revisions in the next model runs from regional meteorological agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 9?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$33,862 Vol.
$33,862 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$33,862 Vol.
$33,862 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime maxima near 30–32°C on July 9 amid the wet-season pattern of high humidity, scattered convection, and afternoon thunderstorms that frequently limit peak heating. Latest model consensus shows modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover or delayed storm development, supporting the narrow edge for 33°C and 32°C outcomes in trader pricing. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, with occasional spikes above 32°C when subsidence strengthens or sea-breeze effects are minimized. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of convective activity plus any revisions in the next model runs from regional meteorological agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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