Current forecast models place Panama City's maximum temperature on September 7 right at the 23–24°C threshold, producing the even 50% market split. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season, modulated by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and variable trade-wind moisture, is the main variable: stronger or earlier showers would cap the high at or below 23°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation could permit a brief climb to 24°C. Sea-breeze timing and cloud-cover evolution add further uncertainty at this coastal location. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, plus any revised local observations over the next 48 hours, will likely determine which side gains an edge before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
31°C 48%
32°C 47%
33°C or higher 46%
30°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
20%
30°C
44%
31°C
48%
32°C
47%
33°C or higher
46%
31°C 48%
32°C 47%
33°C or higher 46%
30°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
44%
31°C
$0 Vol.
48%
32°C
$0 Vol.
47%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models place Panama City's maximum temperature on September 7 right at the 23–24°C threshold, producing the even 50% market split. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season, modulated by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and variable trade-wind moisture, is the main variable: stronger or earlier showers would cap the high at or below 23°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation could permit a brief climb to 24°C. Sea-breeze timing and cloud-cover evolution add further uncertainty at this coastal location. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, plus any revised local observations over the next 48 hours, will likely determine which side gains an edge before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models place Panama City's maximum temperature on September 7 right at the 23–24°C threshold, producing the even 50% market split. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season, modulated by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and variable trade-wind moisture, is the main variable: stronger or earlier showers would cap the high at or below 23°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation could permit a brief climb to 24°C. Sea-breeze timing and cloud-cover evolution add further uncertainty at this coastal location. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, plus any revised local observations over the next 48 hours, will likely determine which side gains an edge before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models place Panama City's maximum temperature on September 7 right at the 23–24°C threshold, producing the even 50% market split. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season, modulated by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and variable trade-wind moisture, is the main variable: stronger or earlier showers would cap the high at or below 23°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation could permit a brief climb to 24°C. Sea-breeze timing and cloud-cover evolution add further uncertainty at this coastal location. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, plus any revised local observations over the next 48 hours, will likely determine which side gains an edge before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions