**Trader consensus has locked onto a 25°C high for Zhengzhou on September 8, 2026, reflecting strong agreement across official forecasts.** A cold-air intrusion combined with a low-trough system has driven a sharp temperature drop of roughly 12–14°C from prior days, accompanied by northeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort (gusts to 7) and periods of light rain or showers. Multiple numerical weather prediction outputs and local meteorological guidance converge on a daytime maximum near 25°C under overcast, moist conditions that limit solar heating. Historical September averages for the region are higher, underscoring how this synoptic setup has suppressed the peak. The market-implied near-certainty leaves little room for deviation unless observations deviate markedly from model consensus—such as unexpectedly reduced cloud cover or delayed precipitation allowing brief additional warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 8?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$8,001 Vol.
$8,001 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$8,001 Vol.
$8,001 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has locked onto a 25°C high for Zhengzhou on September 8, 2026, reflecting strong agreement across official forecasts.** A cold-air intrusion combined with a low-trough system has driven a sharp temperature drop of roughly 12–14°C from prior days, accompanied by northeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort (gusts to 7) and periods of light rain or showers. Multiple numerical weather prediction outputs and local meteorological guidance converge on a daytime maximum near 25°C under overcast, moist conditions that limit solar heating. Historical September averages for the region are higher, underscoring how this synoptic setup has suppressed the peak. The market-implied near-certainty leaves little room for deviation unless observations deviate markedly from model consensus—such as unexpectedly reduced cloud cover or delayed precipitation allowing brief additional warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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