**Strong presales and premium-format sellouts for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi action thriller “Hope” have buoyed trader interest ahead of its 1,500-theater Neon release on September 9, yet the 156-minute runtime, midweek bow, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score from Cannes buzz point to modest domestic expectations.** South Korea’s robust $11.3 million opening and 1.5 million admissions demonstrate core audience draw, but U.S. performance for Korean-language genre titles has historically varied widely. Traders assign the highest implied probability (48%) to under $6 million, reflecting uncertainty around word-of-mouth and competition, while the 23.5% odds on $10 million-plus acknowledge upside from festival momentum and star power including Hoyeon, Michael Fassbender, and Alicia Vikander.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office
<6m 46%
6-7m 28%
7-8m 26%
9-10m 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<6m
46%
6-7m
28%
7-8m
26%
8-9m
24%
9-10m
25%
10m+
24%
<6m 46%
6-7m 28%
7-8m 26%
9-10m 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<6m
$0 Vol.
46%
6-7m
$0 Vol.
28%
7-8m
$0 Vol.
26%
8-9m
$0 Vol.
24%
9-10m
$0 Vol.
25%
10m+
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong presales and premium-format sellouts for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi action thriller “Hope” have buoyed trader interest ahead of its 1,500-theater Neon release on September 9, yet the 156-minute runtime, midweek bow, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score from Cannes buzz point to modest domestic expectations.** South Korea’s robust $11.3 million opening and 1.5 million admissions demonstrate core audience draw, but U.S. performance for Korean-language genre titles has historically varied widely. Traders assign the highest implied probability (48%) to under $6 million, reflecting uncertainty around word-of-mouth and competition, while the 23.5% odds on $10 million-plus acknowledge upside from festival momentum and star power including Hoyeon, Michael Fassbender, and Alicia Vikander.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong presales and premium-format sellouts for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi action thriller “Hope” have buoyed trader interest ahead of its 1,500-theater Neon release on September 9, yet the 156-minute runtime, midweek bow, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score from Cannes buzz point to modest domestic expectations.** South Korea’s robust $11.3 million opening and 1.5 million admissions demonstrate core audience draw, but U.S. performance for Korean-language genre titles has historically varied widely. Traders assign the highest implied probability (48%) to under $6 million, reflecting uncertainty around word-of-mouth and competition, while the 23.5% odds on $10 million-plus acknowledge upside from festival momentum and star power including Hoyeon, Michael Fassbender, and Alicia Vikander.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong presales and premium-format sellouts for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi action thriller “Hope” have buoyed trader interest ahead of its 1,500-theater Neon release on September 9, yet the 156-minute runtime, midweek bow, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score from Cannes buzz point to modest domestic expectations.** South Korea’s robust $11.3 million opening and 1.5 million admissions demonstrate core audience draw, but U.S. performance for Korean-language genre titles has historically varied widely. Traders assign the highest implied probability (48%) to under $6 million, reflecting uncertainty around word-of-mouth and competition, while the 23.5% odds on $10 million-plus acknowledge upside from festival momentum and star power including Hoyeon, Michael Fassbender, and Alicia Vikander.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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