**Trader sentiment for "Onslaught" opening weekend centers on modest expectations for this A24 military slasher, with the 3-4 million bracket leading at 45.5% implied probability.** Adam Wingard’s return to indie roots after big-budget outings, combined with mixed reviews (Metacritic in the low 50s, early RT around 79%), positions the film as a fun but niche midnight-movie-style thriller rather than a broad commercial draw. Adria Arjona leads as an army sniper protecting her daughter from genetically engineered super-soldiers, supported by Dan Stevens and Rebecca Hall, but the R-rated premise and Labor Day timing limit mainstream appeal. Recent red-carpet premiere and trailer rollout have generated genre buzz without translating into blockbuster presales or tracking, aligning with historical A24 horror/action openings. The market reflects realistic assessment of its cult potential over wide breakout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
3-4m 46%
2-3m 24%
4-5m 22%
5-6m 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<2m
22%
2-3m
24%
3-4m
46%
4-5m
22%
5-6m
22%
6m+
19%
3-4m 46%
2-3m 24%
4-5m 22%
5-6m 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<2m
$0 Vol.
22%
2-3m
$120 Vol.
24%
3-4m
$0 Vol.
46%
4-5m
$0 Vol.
22%
5-6m
$0 Vol.
22%
6m+
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment for "Onslaught" opening weekend centers on modest expectations for this A24 military slasher, with the 3-4 million bracket leading at 45.5% implied probability.** Adam Wingard’s return to indie roots after big-budget outings, combined with mixed reviews (Metacritic in the low 50s, early RT around 79%), positions the film as a fun but niche midnight-movie-style thriller rather than a broad commercial draw. Adria Arjona leads as an army sniper protecting her daughter from genetically engineered super-soldiers, supported by Dan Stevens and Rebecca Hall, but the R-rated premise and Labor Day timing limit mainstream appeal. Recent red-carpet premiere and trailer rollout have generated genre buzz without translating into blockbuster presales or tracking, aligning with historical A24 horror/action openings. The market reflects realistic assessment of its cult potential over wide breakout.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$120End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment for "Onslaught" opening weekend centers on modest expectations for this A24 military slasher, with the 3-4 million bracket leading at 45.5% implied probability.** Adam Wingard’s return to indie roots after big-budget outings, combined with mixed reviews (Metacritic in the low 50s, early RT around 79%), positions the film as a fun but niche midnight-movie-style thriller rather than a broad commercial draw. Adria Arjona leads as an army sniper protecting her daughter from genetically engineered super-soldiers, supported by Dan Stevens and Rebecca Hall, but the R-rated premise and Labor Day timing limit mainstream appeal. Recent red-carpet premiere and trailer rollout have generated genre buzz without translating into blockbuster presales or tracking, aligning with historical A24 horror/action openings. The market reflects realistic assessment of its cult potential over wide breakout.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$120End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for "Onslaught" opening weekend centers on modest expectations for this A24 military slasher, with the 3-4 million bracket leading at 45.5% implied probability.** Adam Wingard’s return to indie roots after big-budget outings, combined with mixed reviews (Metacritic in the low 50s, early RT around 79%), positions the film as a fun but niche midnight-movie-style thriller rather than a broad commercial draw. Adria Arjona leads as an army sniper protecting her daughter from genetically engineered super-soldiers, supported by Dan Stevens and Rebecca Hall, but the R-rated premise and Labor Day timing limit mainstream appeal. Recent red-carpet premiere and trailer rollout have generated genre buzz without translating into blockbuster presales or tracking, aligning with historical A24 horror/action openings. The market reflects realistic assessment of its cult potential over wide breakout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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