Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37.5% probability for Waymo operating in exactly 11 cities by June 30, reflecting its recent acceleration to fully autonomous robotaxi service across Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, and Nashville—culminating in public rollouts in Nashville on April 7 and Miami/Orlando on April 15. Today's announcement expanding service areas in Miami (with Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and Bay Area next) boosts operational metrics to over 1,400 square miles across these 11 markets, solidifying the count without new launches. Uncertainty persists for 12+ cities (16% implied odds) due to groundwork in Portland (manual driving began April 28) and other test sites like Chicago, where regulatory approvals or safety data could enable quick geographic expansion before quarter-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated11 38%
12+ 16%
7 8.4%
9 5.3%
$162,446 Vol.
$162,446 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
1%
6
4%
7
8%
8
4%
9
5%
10
5%
11
38%
12+
16%
11 38%
12+ 16%
7 8.4%
9 5.3%
$162,446 Vol.
$162,446 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
$41,853 Vol.
1%
6
$20,099 Vol.
4%
7
$13,760 Vol.
8%
8
$14,295 Vol.
4%
9
$17,382 Vol.
5%
10
$13,659 Vol.
5%
11
$19,386 Vol.
38%
12+
$22,013 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37.5% probability for Waymo operating in exactly 11 cities by June 30, reflecting its recent acceleration to fully autonomous robotaxi service across Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, and Nashville—culminating in public rollouts in Nashville on April 7 and Miami/Orlando on April 15. Today's announcement expanding service areas in Miami (with Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and Bay Area next) boosts operational metrics to over 1,400 square miles across these 11 markets, solidifying the count without new launches. Uncertainty persists for 12+ cities (16% implied odds) due to groundwork in Portland (manual driving began April 28) and other test sites like Chicago, where regulatory approvals or safety data could enable quick geographic expansion before quarter-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Volume
$162,446End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37.5% probability for Waymo operating in exactly 11 cities by June 30, reflecting its recent acceleration to fully autonomous robotaxi service across Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, and Nashville—culminating in public rollouts in Nashville on April 7 and Miami/Orlando on April 15. Today's announcement expanding service areas in Miami (with Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and Bay Area next) boosts operational metrics to over 1,400 square miles across these 11 markets, solidifying the count without new launches. Uncertainty persists for 12+ cities (16% implied odds) due to groundwork in Portland (manual driving began April 28) and other test sites like Chicago, where regulatory approvals or safety data could enable quick geographic expansion before quarter-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$162,446End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37.5% probability for Waymo operating in exactly 11 cities by June 30, reflecting its recent acceleration to fully autonomous robotaxi service across Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, and Nashville—culminating in public rollouts in Nashville on April 7 and Miami/Orlando on April 15. Today's announcement expanding service areas in Miami (with Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and Bay Area next) boosts operational metrics to over 1,400 square miles across these 11 markets, solidifying the count without new launches. Uncertainty persists for 12+ cities (16% implied odds) due to groundwork in Portland (manual driving began April 28) and other test sites like Chicago, where regulatory approvals or safety data could enable quick geographic expansion before quarter-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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