Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain near-even trader odds on whether Tehran will publicly commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has recently expressed readiness to downblend its highly enriched stockpiles and accept IAEA verification while reviewing a U.S. framework that includes sanctions relief and a possible multi-year moratorium, yet it continues to assert an inalienable right to limited domestic enrichment. Stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan reflect core disputes over up-front concessions, stockpile transfers, and the length of any suspension, leaving room for either a phased diplomatic breakthrough or renewed deadlock before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$194,991 Vol.
$194,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$194,991 Vol.
$194,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain near-even trader odds on whether Tehran will publicly commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has recently expressed readiness to downblend its highly enriched stockpiles and accept IAEA verification while reviewing a U.S. framework that includes sanctions relief and a possible multi-year moratorium, yet it continues to assert an inalienable right to limited domestic enrichment. Stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan reflect core disputes over up-front concessions, stockpile transfers, and the length of any suspension, leaving room for either a phased diplomatic breakthrough or renewed deadlock before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$194,991End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain near-even trader odds on whether Tehran will publicly commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has recently expressed readiness to downblend its highly enriched stockpiles and accept IAEA verification while reviewing a U.S. framework that includes sanctions relief and a possible multi-year moratorium, yet it continues to assert an inalienable right to limited domestic enrichment. Stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan reflect core disputes over up-front concessions, stockpile transfers, and the length of any suspension, leaving room for either a phased diplomatic breakthrough or renewed deadlock before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$194,991End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain near-even trader odds on whether Tehran will publicly commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has recently expressed readiness to downblend its highly enriched stockpiles and accept IAEA verification while reviewing a U.S. framework that includes sanctions relief and a possible multi-year moratorium, yet it continues to assert an inalienable right to limited domestic enrichment. Stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan reflect core disputes over up-front concessions, stockpile transfers, and the length of any suspension, leaving room for either a phased diplomatic breakthrough or renewed deadlock before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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