Shas secured six Knesset seats in the October 27, 2026, election, according to near-complete vote counts and double-envelope tallies, down sharply from its 11 seats in 2022. This outcome aligns with the market's 97% probability on the 6-7 range. The party's support fell by roughly 30% as traditional Sephardi and Mizrahi voters shifted toward Likud and Otzma Yehudit, while its hardline position on Haredi military exemptions limited broader appeal. Pre-election polls had averaged near eight seats, but final tallies confirmed the lower result amid bloc totals leaving Netanyahu's alliance short of a majority. Official certification by the Central Elections Committee remains the last procedural step, though additional counting is unlikely to alter the seat allocation materially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1H6H1D7D30DALL
View resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions