Recent May 2026 CPI data, which printed at 4.2% year-over-year in line with consensus but marked the highest reading since April 2023 after a 3.8% April outcome, has anchored trader expectations for the June annual rate around the 4.0-4.2% cluster. Elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions, combined with base effects and lingering pass-through from prior tariffs, support the market-implied odds favoring modest persistence rather than a sharp reversal. Core CPI trends at 2.9% and upcoming labor market releases will help differentiate between transitory and sustained pressures ahead of the July 14 release. The closely balanced probabilities between 4.0% and 4.1% reflect uncertainty over whether June's monthly reading moderates enough to offset the prior acceleration, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting adding a near-term policy lens on inflation trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJune Inflation US - Annual
4.0% 22%
4.1% 22%
4.2% 19%
3.9% 15%
≤3.6%
3%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
15%
4.0%
22%
4.1%
22%
4.2%
19%
4.3%
14%
4.4%
6%
4.5%
5%
4.6%
1%
≥4.7%
4%
4.0% 22%
4.1% 22%
4.2% 19%
3.9% 15%
≤3.6%
3%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
15%
4.0%
22%
4.1%
22%
4.2%
19%
4.3%
14%
4.4%
6%
4.5%
5%
4.6%
1%
≥4.7%
4%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 10, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 CPI data, which printed at 4.2% year-over-year in line with consensus but marked the highest reading since April 2023 after a 3.8% April outcome, has anchored trader expectations for the June annual rate around the 4.0-4.2% cluster. Elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions, combined with base effects and lingering pass-through from prior tariffs, support the market-implied odds favoring modest persistence rather than a sharp reversal. Core CPI trends at 2.9% and upcoming labor market releases will help differentiate between transitory and sustained pressures ahead of the July 14 release. The closely balanced probabilities between 4.0% and 4.1% reflect uncertainty over whether June's monthly reading moderates enough to offset the prior acceleration, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting adding a near-term policy lens on inflation trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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