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Largest Company end of August?

icon for Largest Company end of August?

Largest Company end of August?

NVIDIA 97.4%

Apple 2.2%

Alphabet <1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$2,096,686 Vol.

NVIDIA 97.4%

Apple 2.2%

Alphabet <1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$2,096,686 Vol.

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$499,672 Vol.

97%

icon for Apple

Apple

$303,540 Vol.

2%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$317,300 Vol.

1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$231,528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$204,289 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$141,651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$254,405 Vol.

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$144,301 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA holds a 97.4% market-implied probability of remaining the largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026, driven by its sustained dominance in AI accelerators and GPUs that power data center buildouts across hyperscalers. Recent earnings and supply chain reports confirm robust demand, pushing its valuation to roughly $5.4 trillion—well ahead of Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft. Traders view the two-week window as too narrow for meaningful reversals, given NVIDIA’s entrenched ecosystem advantages and ongoing artificial intelligence investment cycles. A sharp sector-wide correction or outsized negative surprise in upcoming reports could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for competitors to close the valuation spread before month-end.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,096,686
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA holds a 97.4% market-implied probability of remaining the largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026, driven by its sustained dominance in AI accelerators and GPUs that power data center buildouts across hyperscalers. Recent earnings and supply chain reports confirm robust demand, pushing its valuation to roughly $5.4 trillion—well ahead of Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft. Traders view the two-week window as too narrow for meaningful reversals, given NVIDIA’s entrenched ecosystem advantages and ongoing artificial intelligence investment cycles. A sharp sector-wide correction or outsized negative surprise in upcoming reports could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for competitors to close the valuation spread before month-end.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,096,686
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Largest Company end of August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 97%, followed by "Apple" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Largest Company end of August?" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Largest Company end of August?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Largest Company end of August?" is "NVIDIA" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Largest Company end of August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.