Skip to main content
icon for Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

icon for Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

NVIDIA 96.3%

Alphabet 3.1%

Apple <1%

Saudi Aramco <1%

Polymarket

$5,563,120 Vol.

NVIDIA 96.3%

Alphabet 3.1%

Apple <1%

Saudi Aramco <1%

Polymarket

$5,563,120 Vol.

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$897,462 Vol.

96%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$523,965 Vol.

3%

icon for Apple

Apple

$623,585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$851,136 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$752,501 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$598,302 Vol.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$589,968 Vol.

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$726,200 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead in the market-implied odds for the largest company by market capitalization at the end of May stems from its continued dominance in artificial intelligence hardware, where surging demand for its GPUs has driven market cap to record levels above $5.5 trillion. This positions the company well ahead of closer rivals like Alphabet and Apple amid ongoing AI model training and inference growth across data centers. Recent stock gains tied to executive visibility in high-profile global discussions have reinforced trader confidence in near-term stability. With only two weeks remaining, a sudden broad market rotation or unexpected competitive breakthrough in alternative chip architectures could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such shifts rarely reverse trillion-dollar leads that quickly.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,563,120
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead in the market-implied odds for the largest company by market capitalization at the end of May stems from its continued dominance in artificial intelligence hardware, where surging demand for its GPUs has driven market cap to record levels above $5.5 trillion. This positions the company well ahead of closer rivals like Alphabet and Apple amid ongoing AI model training and inference growth across data centers. Recent stock gains tied to executive visibility in high-profile global discussions have reinforced trader confidence in near-term stability. With only two weeks remaining, a sudden broad market rotation or unexpected competitive breakthrough in alternative chip architectures could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such shifts rarely reverse trillion-dollar leads that quickly.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,563,120
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Largest Company end of May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 96%, followed by "Alphabet" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Largest Company end of May?" has generated $5.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Largest Company end of May?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Largest Company end of May?" is "NVIDIA" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Largest Company end of May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.